Sport Picks
Dep. Pasto vs Cucuta Prediction & H2H Stats
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Departamental Libertad, Pasto 
Match Events
30'
30'
Estupinan A.
Assist: Jimenez M. S.
46'
46'
Sub
Cano A. In: Castaneda F.
Out: Cano A.
61'
61'
Sub
Arizalas E. In: Agudelo J.
Out: Arizalas E.
AI Match Summary
Dep. Pasto in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dep. Pasto.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dep. Pasto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Dep. Pasto have won more games recently than Cucuta.
- Model gives Dep. Pasto a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Dep. Pasto Clean Sheet 18%
Cucuta Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dep. Pasto | Cucuta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 11 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Primera A
Cucuta vs Dep. Pasto
2:2
Mar 1, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Cucuta
3:2
Aug 9, 2020 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Cucuta
0:0
Feb 17, 2020 Primera A
Cucuta vs Dep. Pasto
0:0
Sep 28, 2019 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Cucuta
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dep. Pasto Compare
Top Goalscorer Estupinan A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cordoba S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Cucuta Compare
Top Goalscorer Cordoba B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Calcaterra D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dep. Pasto 41 / 100
Cucuta 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dep. Pasto Cucuta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dep. Pasto found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).
Cucuta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Dep. Pasto has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Dep. Pasto VS Cucuta
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Dep. Pasto
(Home) 25 Sept
Chico
3 : 0 Dep. Pasto
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0 Once Caldas
15 Sept
America De Cali
0 : 1 Dep. Pasto
10 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 4 Ind. Medellin
05 Sept
Cucuta
2 : 2 Dep. Pasto
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0 Once Caldas
10 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 4 Ind. Medellin
31 Aug
Dep. Pasto
1 : 2 Dep. Pereira
23 Aug
Dep. Pasto
0 : 1 Llaneros
09 Aug
Dep. Pasto
0 : 2 Dep. Cali
Page 1 of 3
Cucuta
(Away) 26 Sept
Cucuta
2 : 1 Llaneros
19 Sept
Dep. Cali
3 : 0 Cucuta
14 Sept
Cucuta
1 : 2 Millonarios
05 Sept
Cucuta
2 : 2 Dep. Pasto
01 Sept
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1 Cucuta
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Dep. Cali
3 : 0 Cucuta
01 Sept
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1 Cucuta
23 Aug
Ind. Medellin
0 : 1 Cucuta
08 Aug
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2 : 0 Cucuta
04 Aug
Bucaramanga
1 : 1 Cucuta
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Dep. Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America De Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Inter Bogotá | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Ind. Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Aguilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Dep. Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | 10 |
Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs)
