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Dep. Pasto vs Dep. Cali Prediction & H2H Stats

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Departamental Libertad, Pasto
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Velasco E.
27'
Serje Orozco E. C.
31'
Rodriguez S.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Dep. Pasto and Dep. Cali finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dep. Cali.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Dep. Pasto
20%
Draws
52%
Dep. Cali
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dep. Cali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dep. Cali come out ahead of Dep. Pasto on wins alone.
  • Dep. Cali are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Dep. Pasto Clean Sheet 18%
Dep. Cali Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Pasto Dep. Cali
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.25 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.61 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Dep. Cali
0:2
Feb 1, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Dep. Pasto
3:0
Sep 14, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Dep. Pasto
2:1
Mar 29, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Dep. Cali
1:1
Sep 3, 2024 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Dep. Pasto
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Pasto Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Dep. Cali Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bello E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Pasto 10 / 100
Dep. Cali 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Pasto Dep. Cali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. Cali Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dep. Pasto scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Dep. Cali's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Dep. Pasto stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Pasto VS Dep. Cali
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Pasto

(Home)
25 Sept
Chico
3 : 0
Dep. Pasto
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0
Once Caldas
15 Sept
America De Cali
0 : 1
Dep. Pasto
10 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 4
Ind. Medellin
05 Sept
Cucuta
2 : 2
Dep. Pasto
Page 1 of 6

Dep. Cali

(Away)
28 Sept
Dep. Cali
2 : 0
Aguilas Doradas
23 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 1
Dep. Cali
19 Sept
Dep. Cali
3 : 0
Cucuta
13 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 2
Dep. Cali
11 Sept
Millonarios
1 : 1
Dep. Cali
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 11 7 3 1 22:6 24
2 Dep. Cali 11 6 3 2 17:8 21
3 Bucaramanga 10 5 5 0 17:9 20
4 Millonarios 12 5 5 2 16:9 20
5 Atl. Nacional 9 6 1 2 18:9 19
6 Ind. Medellin 10 6 1 3 17:13 19
7 Deportes Tolima 11 5 3 3 15:13 18
8 Santa Fe 10 4 4 2 16:11 16
9 Llaneros 11 4 2 5 14:14 14
10 Once Caldas 11 3 3 5 14:15 12
11 Inter Bogotá 12 2 6 4 13:17 12
12 Cucuta 11 3 3 5 11:19 12
13 Aguilas Doradas 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
14 Chico 10 3 2 5 10:18 11
15 Alianza 11 3 2 6 11:21 11
16 Junior 9 2 3 4 14:14 9
17 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 11 1 6 4 13:18 9
18 Dep. Pereira 9 1 5 3 6:11 8
19 Dep. Pasto 11 2 2 7 9:18 8
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 10 1 4 5 11:18 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)