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Dep. Pasto vs Ind. Medellin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Copa Colombia Estadio Departamental Libertad, Pasto
Dep. Pasto Logo

Dep. Pasto

1 - 4
FT
Ind. Medellin Logo

Ind. Medellin

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Gonzalez Y.
Assist: Martegani A.
27' Event
Moreno D.
Assist: Quintero J.
45'
Gil N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-4. The second leg ended 1-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Dep. Pasto
30%
Draws
29%
Ind. Medellin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dep. Pasto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Dep. Pasto haven't matched Ind. Medellin's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ind. Medellin's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Ind. Medellin arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ind. Medellin, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Dep. Pasto Clean Sheet 11%
Ind. Medellin Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Pasto Ind. Medellin
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 9 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.21 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Copa Colombia
Dep. Pasto vs Ind. Medellin
1:4
Aug 21, 2026 Copa Colombia
Ind. Medellin vs Dep. Pasto
0:0
Jul 25, 2026 Primera A
Ind. Medellin vs Dep. Pasto
3:2
Jan 18, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Ind. Medellin
1:0
Aug 19, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Ind. Medellin
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Pasto Compare

Top Goalscorer Perlaza J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ind. Medellin Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moreno D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Pasto 10 / 100
Ind. Medellin 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Pasto Ind. Medellin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ind. Medellin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Pasto's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ind. Medellin has conceded goals in 77% of their last 26 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Dep. Pasto stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Pasto VS Ind. Medellin
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Pasto

(Home)
04 Oct
Dep. Pasto
0 : 0
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
25 Sept
Chico
3 : 0
Dep. Pasto
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0
Once Caldas
15 Sept
America De Cali
0 : 1
Dep. Pasto
10 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 4
Ind. Medellin
Page 1 of 6

Ind. Medellin

(Away)
06 Oct
Ind. Medellin
0 : 1
Santa Fe
30 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 2
Millonarios
27 Sept
Junior
2 : 0
Ind. Medellin
22 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 1
Jaguares de Cordoba
18 Sept
Bucaramanga
2 : 2
Ind. Medellin
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Inter Bogotá 2
Real Cundinamarca 1
Quindio 1
Llaneros 2
Barranquilla 2
Millonarios 1
America De Cali 4
Dep. Pereira 1
Atl. Nacional 3
Dep. Cali 0
Dep. Pasto 1
Ind. Medellin 4
Once Caldas 1
Alianza 0
Santa Fe -
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. -
Quarter-finals
Inter Bogotá -
Llaneros -
Barranquilla -
America De Cali -
Atl. Nacional -
Ind. Medellin -
Once Caldas -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -