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Dep. Pasto W vs Once Caldas W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women 2025 Estadio Departamental Libertad
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Infante Suarez N. C.
33' Event
Arroyave K.
41' Event
Balcazar K.

AI Match Summary

Dep. Pasto W host Once Caldas W in the Liga Women 2025. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Dep. Pasto W at 0.5 goals for, 1.63 against; Once Caldas W at 0.63 for, 1.88 against. Past meetings favor Dep. Pasto W slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 4, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.19 - 1.13) back Dep. Pasto W to edge this. Dep. Pasto W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Dep. Pasto W
33%
Draws
40%
Once Caldas W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Once Caldas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Dep. Pasto W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Once Caldas W.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Once Caldas W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Women 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Dep. Pasto W Clean Sheet 20%
Once Caldas W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Pasto W Once Caldas W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 3
Draws 9 10
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Liga Women
Once Caldas W vs Dep. Pasto W
1:0
Jun 11, 2025 Liga Women
Dep. Pasto W vs Once Caldas W
2:2
Jun 1, 2025 Liga Women
Once Caldas W vs Dep. Pasto W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Pasto W Compare

Top Goalscorer Balcazar K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Once Caldas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Arroyave K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Orozco M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Pasto W 28 / 100
Once Caldas W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Pasto W Once Caldas W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ONC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Pasto W scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Once Caldas W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Dep. Pasto W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Once Caldas W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Pasto W VS Once Caldas W
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dep. Cali W16122235:738
2Indep. Santa Fe W16112332:1235
3Atl. Nacional W1678122:1029
4Ind. Medellin W1692524:1429
5Inter Palmira W1683519:1827
6America de Cali W1675419:1326
7Orsomarso W1674523:1425
8Millonarios W1666425:2024
9Inter Bogotá W1666414:924
10Dep. Pasto W1665521:1723
11Junior W1635821:3714
12Real Santander W162779:1813
13Once Caldas W1626812:2312
14Alianza W16311215:3710
15Fortaleza W16241012:3710
16Bucaramanga W161695:229