Sport Picks
Dep. Pereira vs Bucaramanga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Deportivo Cali, Palmira 
Match Events
5'
5'
Pons L.
Assist: Sambueza F.
31'
31'
Quinones Y.
33'
33'
Batalla E.
Assist: Sambueza F.
AI Match Summary
The Primera A game between Dep. Pereira and Bucaramanga finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bucaramanga.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
35%
53%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bucaramanga
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Bucaramanga come out ahead of Dep. Pereira on wins alone.
- Bucaramanga are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Dep. Pereira Clean Sheet 12%
Bucaramanga Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dep. Pereira | Bucaramanga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 4 | 10 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.72 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Bucaramanga
1:3
Mar 10, 2026 Primera A
Bucaramanga vs Dep. Pereira
3:0
Aug 30, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Bucaramanga
0:1
Mar 14, 2025 Primera A
Bucaramanga vs Dep. Pereira
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 Primera A
Bucaramanga vs Dep. Pereira
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dep. Pereira Compare
Top Goalscorer Quinones Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Bucaramanga Compare
Top Goalscorer Pons L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Batalla E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dep. Pereira 10 / 100
Bucaramanga 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dep. Pereira Bucaramanga
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bucaramanga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Bucaramanga conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Dep. Pereira stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Dep. Pereira found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).
Scoring Trends
Dep. Pereira VS Bucaramanga
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Dep. Pereira
(Home) 10 Oct
Dep. Pereira
0 : 0 Dep. Cali
04 Oct
Cucuta
4 : 0 Dep. Pereira
29 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 2 Santa Fe
26 Sept
Dep. Pereira
0 : 0 Inter Bogotá
18 Sept
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2 Dep. Pereira
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Dep. Pereira
0 : 0 Dep. Cali
29 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 2 Santa Fe
26 Sept
Dep. Pereira
0 : 0 Inter Bogotá
13 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 3 Bucaramanga
06 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 1 Millonarios
Page 1 of 3
Bucaramanga
(Away) 04 Oct
Bucaramanga
3 : 1 Junior
26 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 3 Bucaramanga
20 Sept
Bucaramanga
2 : 0 Inter Bogotá
18 Sept
Bucaramanga
2 : 2 Ind. Medellin
13 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 3 Bucaramanga
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 3 Bucaramanga
13 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 3 Bucaramanga
31 Aug
Dep. Cali
1 : 1 Bucaramanga
22 Aug
Deportes Tolima
0 : 0 Bucaramanga
09 Aug
Alianza
2 : 3 Bucaramanga
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America De Cali | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20:9 | 25 |
| 3 | Atl. Nacional | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 23 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 20:10 | 23 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 7 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Aguilas Doradas | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Cucuta | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Inter Bogotá | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 16:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Chico | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Alianza | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:26 | 12 |
| 16 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Junior | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:18 | 9 |
| 19 | Dep. Pereira | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7:17 | 9 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)
