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Dep. Pereira vs Millonarios - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Santiago de las Atalayas, Yopal
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Quinones Y.
55'
Estupinan A.
59'
Sub
Bermudez Correa J. A. In: Moreno Gomez E. A.
Out: Bermudez Correa J. A.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Dep. Pereira and Millonarios finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Dep. Pereira
35%
Draws
43%
Millonarios
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Millonarios

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Millonarios come out ahead of Dep. Pereira on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Dep. Pereira Clean Sheet 10%
Millonarios Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Pereira Millonarios
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 4 10
Draws 11 11
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 0.68 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Millonarios
1:1
Feb 27, 2026 Primera A
Millonarios vs Dep. Pereira
5:1
Oct 15, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Millonarios
3:2
May 9, 2025 Primera A
Millonarios vs Dep. Pereira
0:0
Nov 11, 2024 Primera A
Millonarios vs Dep. Pereira
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Pereira Compare

Top Goalscorer Monroy J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Millonarios Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Pereira 30 / 100
Millonarios 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Pereira Millonarios

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Millonarios Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Millonarios conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Dep. Pereira stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Dep. Pereira scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Pereira VS Millonarios
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Pereira

(Home)
10 Oct
Dep. Pereira
0 : 0
Dep. Cali
04 Oct
Cucuta
4 : 0
Dep. Pereira
29 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 2
Santa Fe
26 Sept
Dep. Pereira
0 : 0
Inter Bogotá
18 Sept
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2
Dep. Pereira
Page 1 of 6

Millonarios

(Away)
09 Oct
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 1
Millonarios
03 Oct
Barranquilla
2 : 1
Millonarios
30 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 2
Millonarios
25 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1
Millonarios
19 Sept
Millonarios
3 : 0
Chico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 12 8 3 1 24:7 27
2 Dep. Cali 13 7 4 2 20:9 25
3 Atl. Nacional 11 7 2 2 21:10 23
4 Bucaramanga 11 6 5 0 20:10 23
5 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
6 Millonarios 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
7 Ind. Medellin 12 6 2 4 19:16 20
8 Deportes Tolima 13 5 5 3 15:13 20
9 Once Caldas 13 4 4 5 16:16 16
10 Aguilas Doradas 12 3 6 3 16:17 15
11 Cucuta 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
12 Llaneros 13 4 2 7 15:17 14
13 Inter Bogotá 14 2 8 4 16:20 14
14 Chico 11 3 3 5 10:18 12
15 Alianza 13 3 3 7 14:26 12
16 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 13 1 8 4 14:19 11
17 Junior 12 2 4 6 18:22 10
18 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
19 Dep. Pereira 12 1 6 5 7:17 9
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 11 1 4 6 11:20 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)