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Dep. Pereira vs Real Cundinamarca

Colombia Colombia

Copa Colombia Santiago de las Atalayas
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dep. Pereira play Real Cundinamarca in the Copa Colombia. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dep. Pereira averaged 0.94 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Real Cundinamarca averaged 1.21 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Dep. Pereira won 3, Real Cundinamarca won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Dep. Pereira and 1.25 for Real Cundinamarca. This points to a Real Cundinamarca double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Dep. Pereira
35%
Draws
40%
Real Cundinamarca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Real Cundinamarca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Dep. Pereira picked up more points recently compared to Real Cundinamarca.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Dep. Pereira Clean Sheet 19%
Real Cundinamarca Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Pereira Real Cundinamarca
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 4 13
Draws 11 10
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.94 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Copa Colombia
Dep. Pereira vs Real Cundinamarca
1:0
Sep 3, 2025 Copa Colombia
Real Cundinamarca vs Dep. Pereira
2:2
Aug 27, 2025 Copa Colombia
Dep. Pereira vs Real Cundinamarca
4:3
Mar 20, 2024 Copa Colombia
Real Cundinamarca vs Dep. Pereira
0:0
Mar 8, 2024 Copa Colombia
Dep. Pereira vs Real Cundinamarca
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Pereira Compare

Top Goalscorer Acosta S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Real Cundinamarca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Pereira 26 / 100
Real Cundinamarca 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Pereira Real Cundinamarca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Real Cundinamarca or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dep. Pereira attacking → ← attacking Real Cundinamarca

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Pereira scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Real Cundinamarca let in goals in 61% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Dep. Pereira went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Real Cundinamarca lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 49
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dep. Cali440010:212
2Alianza42116:37
3Boca Juniors de Cali42118:87
4Bucaramanga41038:73
5Real Santander40041:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Millonarios431014:510
2Llaneros43017:29
3Chico41216:35
4Patriotas40224:72
5Atletico F.C.40132:161
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ind. Medellin42205:38
2Fortaleza C.E.I.F.41215:35
3Leones41214:55
4Cucuta40312:33
5Orsomarso40313:53
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dep. Pereira42204:28
2Real Cundinamarca42116:47
3Aguilas Doradas41307:46
4Jaguares de Cordoba41124:34
5Ind. Yumbo40132:101