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Dep. Pereira vs Santa Fe Prediction & H2H Stats

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Santiago de las Atalayas, Yopal
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Bustos N.
45' Event
Perez M.
(Penalty)
48'
Pacheco W.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Dep. Pereira and Santa Fe finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Fe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Dep. Pereira
30%
Draws
54%
Santa Fe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Dep. Pereira haven't matched Santa Fe's recent run of results.
  • Santa Fe are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Dep. Pereira Clean Sheet 11%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Pereira Santa Fe
Matches Played 28 36
Wins 4 16
Draws 11 13
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.79 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Santa Fe
1:2
Jan 28, 2026 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Dep. Pereira
2:2
Jul 13, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Santa Fe
2:2
Jan 26, 2025 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Dep. Pereira
2:1
Oct 4, 2024 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Dep. Pereira
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Pereira Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Santa Fe Compare

Top Goalscorer Bustos N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Pereira 18 / 100
Santa Fe 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Pereira Santa Fe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Fe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Santa Fe has conceded goals in 69% of their last 36 outings.

Dep. Pereira scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Dep. Pereira went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Pereira VS Santa Fe
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Pereira

(Home)
29 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 2
Santa Fe
26 Sept
Dep. Pereira
0 : 0
Inter Bogotá
18 Sept
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2
Dep. Pereira
13 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 3
Bucaramanga
09 Sept
America De Cali
4 : 1
Dep. Pereira
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Santa Fe

(Away)
29 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 2
Santa Fe
25 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1
Santa Fe
23 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 1
Dep. Cali
19 Sept
Alianza
1 : 4
Santa Fe
15 Sept
Vasco
2 : 0
Santa Fe
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 11 7 3 1 22:6 24
2 Dep. Cali 11 6 3 2 17:8 21
3 Millonarios 13 5 6 2 18:11 21
4 Bucaramanga 10 5 5 0 17:9 20
5 Ind. Medellin 11 6 2 3 19:15 20
6 Atl. Nacional 9 6 1 2 18:9 19
7 Santa Fe 11 5 4 2 18:12 19
8 Deportes Tolima 11 5 3 3 15:13 18
9 Llaneros 11 4 2 5 14:14 14
10 Once Caldas 11 3 3 5 14:15 12
11 Inter Bogotá 12 2 6 4 13:17 12
12 Cucuta 11 3 3 5 11:19 12
13 Aguilas Doradas 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
14 Chico 10 3 2 5 10:18 11
15 Alianza 11 3 2 6 11:21 11
16 Junior 9 2 3 4 14:14 9
17 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 11 1 6 4 13:18 9
18 Dep. Pereira 10 1 5 4 7:13 8
19 Dep. Pasto 11 2 2 7 9:18 8
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 10 1 4 5 11:18 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)