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Stadium Background

Dep. Quito vs LDU Portoviejo

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2016 Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

LDU Portoviejo in this Serie B 2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored LDU Portoviejo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Dep. Quito
20%
Draws
38%
LDU Portoviejo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dep. Quito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • LDU Portoviejo have won more games recently than Dep. Quito.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Dep. Quito taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Dep. Quito Clean Sheet 20%
LDU Portoviejo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Quito LDU Portoviejo
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 4 19
Draws 3 7
Losses 23 16
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2016 Serie B
Dep. Quito vs LDU Portoviejo
0:3
Aug 28, 2016 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs Dep. Quito
4:2
Jun 18, 2016 Serie B
Dep. Quito vs LDU Portoviejo
3:1
Apr 10, 2016 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs Dep. Quito
0:4
May 10, 2009 Liga Pro
Dep. Quito vs LDU Portoviejo
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Quito 42 / 100
LDU Portoviejo 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Quito LDU Portoviejo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Defensive concern: LDU Portoviejo conceded in 64% of 42 recent games.

Dep. Quito scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Dep. Quito remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Quito VS LDU Portoviejo
0 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Macara442412875:3084
2Clan Juvenil4420141061:3773
3Gualaceo4420111358:4571
4Tecnico U.442181564:5671
5Manta4419101556:5067
6Imbabura4417111664:5262
7LDU Portoviejo4415121742:5157
8Olmedo449201551:5547
9CD Colon4411201338:4347
10LDU Loja4413112054:7446
11Espoli449161941:6439
12Dep. Quito44992641:882