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Dep. Santo Domingo vs EL Nacional - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Dep. Santo Domingo and EL Nacional finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dep. Santo Domingo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Dep. Santo Domingo
15%
Draws
39%
EL Nacional
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dep. Santo Domingo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Dep. Santo Domingo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Dep. Santo Domingo a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Dep. Santo Domingo Clean Sheet 68%
EL Nacional Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Santo Domingo EL Nacional
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 5
Draws 11 6
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 0.97 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Serie B
Dep. Santo Domingo vs EL Nacional
1:0
Jun 11, 2026 Serie B
EL Nacional vs Dep. Santo Domingo
0:0
Apr 10, 2026 Serie B
Dep. Santo Domingo vs EL Nacional
1:1
Sep 4, 2024 Copa Ecuador
Dep. Santo Domingo vs EL Nacional
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Santo Domingo 95 / 100
EL Nacional 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Santo Domingo EL Nacional

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. Santo Domingo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EL Nacional has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Dep. Santo Domingo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: EL Nacional registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Santo Domingo VS EL Nacional
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Santo Domingo

(Home)
08 Oct
Dep. Santo Domingo
2 : 2
LDU Portoviejo
01 Oct
Cumbaya
0 : 3
Dep. Santo Domingo
27 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 1
Gualaceo
18 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
1 : 0
EL Nacional
11 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
1 : 0
Dep. Santo Domingo
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EL Nacional

(Away)
07 Oct
22 de Julio
2 : 5
EL Nacional
03 Oct
LDU Portoviejo
3 : 2
EL Nacional
26 Sept
EL Nacional
0 : 3
Cumbaya
18 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
1 : 0
EL Nacional
12 Sept
EL Nacional
3 : 0
22 de Julio
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