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Dep. Santo Domingo vs LDU Portoviejo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Castro F.
70' Event
Guerrero S.
75' Event
Parrales A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Dep. Santo Domingo
35%
Draws
30%
LDU Portoviejo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to LDU Portoviejo lately — more wins on the board than Dep. Santo Domingo.
  • Dep. Santo Domingo are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Dep. Santo Domingo Clean Sheet 68%
LDU Portoviejo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Santo Domingo LDU Portoviejo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 9
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 0.97 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.69 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Serie B
Dep. Santo Domingo vs LDU Portoviejo
2:2
Sep 11, 2026 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs Dep. Santo Domingo
1:0
Jul 25, 2026 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs Dep. Santo Domingo
1:0
May 5, 2026 Serie B
Dep. Santo Domingo vs LDU Portoviejo
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Santo Domingo Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guerrero S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

LDU Portoviejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Parrales A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Santo Domingo 59 / 100
LDU Portoviejo 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Santo Domingo LDU Portoviejo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. Santo Domingo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Dep. Santo Domingo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Dep. Santo Domingo's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: LDU Portoviejo conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Santo Domingo VS LDU Portoviejo
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Santo Domingo

(Home)
08 Oct
Dep. Santo Domingo
2 : 2
LDU Portoviejo
01 Oct
Cumbaya
0 : 3
Dep. Santo Domingo
27 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 1
Gualaceo
18 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
1 : 0
EL Nacional
11 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
1 : 0
Dep. Santo Domingo
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LDU Portoviejo

(Away)
08 Oct
Dep. Santo Domingo
2 : 2
LDU Portoviejo
03 Oct
LDU Portoviejo
3 : 2
EL Nacional
24 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
2 : 2
22 de Julio
19 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
17 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 2
Delfin
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