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Dep. Tachira vs Deportes Tolima

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo, San Cristóbal
Dep. Tachira Logo

Dep. Tachira

0 - 1
FT
Deportes Tolima Logo

Deportes Tolima

Our Tip

Match Events

52'
Sub
Lozano G. In: Villalpando J.
Out: Lozano G.
59'
Nieto J.
60'
Sub
Gonzalez J. In: Florez K.
Out: Gonzalez J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Dep. Tachira
20%
Draws
33%
Deportes Tolima
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dep. Tachira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Dep. Tachira have won more games recently than Deportes Tolima.
  • Win probability leans Dep. Tachira's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Dep. Tachira have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Deportes Tolima, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Dep. Tachira Clean Sheet 68%
Deportes Tolima Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Tachira Deportes Tolima
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 17 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Deportes Tolima vs Dep. Tachira
1:1
Feb 20, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Dep. Tachira vs Deportes Tolima
0:1
Feb 8, 2007 Copa Libertadores
Deportes Tolima vs Dep. Tachira
2:0
Jan 30, 2007 Copa Libertadores
Dep. Tachira vs Deportes Tolima
1:2
Apr 8, 2004 Copa Libertadores
Dep. Tachira vs Deportes Tolima
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Tachira Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Deportes Tolima Compare

Top Goalscorer Florez K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Tachira 77 / 100
Deportes Tolima 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Tachira Deportes Tolima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. Tachira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Tachira's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Deportes Tolima let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Dep. Tachira remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Tachira VS Deportes Tolima
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Tachira

(Home)
20 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 4
Dep. Tachira
15 Sept
Dep. Tachira
1 : 1
Academia Puerto Cabello
12 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
2 : 0
Dep. Tachira
06 Sept
Dep. Tachira
3 : 1
Rayo Zuliano
02 Sept
Zamora
2 : 5
Dep. Tachira
Page 1 of 6

Deportes Tolima

(Away)
20 Sept
Deportes Tolima
1 : 1
America De Cali
16 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Deportes Tolima
12 Sept
Santa Fe
1 : 0
Deportes Tolima
07 Sept
Llaneros
1 : 2
Deportes Tolima
01 Sept
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1
Cucuta
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Juventud 5
U. Catolica 4
TBD -
Guarani -
Liverpool M. -
TBD -
TBD -
Ind. Medellin -
The Strongest 2
Dep. Tachira 3
TBD -
Deportes Tolima -
O Higgins -
TBD -
TBD -
Bahia -
2 de Mayo 2
A. Lima 1
TBD -
Sporting Cristal -
Carabobo -
TBD -
TBD -
Huachipato -
Barcelona SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Argentinos Jrs -
Nacional Potosi -
TBD -
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
Semi-finals
Juventud 2
Guarani 1
Liverpool M. 1
Ind. Medellin 2
Dep. Tachira 1
Deportes Tolima 2
O Higgins 3
Bahia 2
2 de Mayo 2
Sporting Cristal 3
Carabobo 3
Huachipato 1
Barcelona SC 2
Argentinos Jrs 1
Nacional Potosi 1
Botafogo RJ 2
Final
Juventud 2
Ind. Medellin 3
Deportes Tolima 2
O Higgins 1
Sporting Cristal 3
Carabobo 2
Barcelona SC 2
Botafogo RJ 1