Sport Picks

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Dep. Tachira vs Estudiantes Merida

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo, San Cristóbal
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Gonzalez L.
36'
Sub
Maldonado M. In: Montilla Maldonado J. A.
Out: Maldonado M.
48'
Ramirez H.

AI Match Summary

Dep. Tachira in this Liga FUTVE matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dep. Tachira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Dep. Tachira
30%
Draws
37%
Estudiantes Merida
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Estudiantes Merida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dep. Tachira lately — more wins on the board than Estudiantes Merida.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Dep. Tachira taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Dep. Tachira Clean Sheet 20%
Estudiantes Merida Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Tachira Estudiantes Merida
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Estudiantes Merida vs Dep. Tachira
2:0
May 31, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Dep. Tachira vs Estudiantes Merida
1:0
May 2, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Estudiantes Merida vs Dep. Tachira
2:1
Mar 22, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Dep. Tachira vs Estudiantes Merida
1:0
Aug 31, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Dep. Tachira vs Estudiantes Merida
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Tachira Compare

Top Goalscorer Villalpando J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Estudiantes Merida Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Tachira 36 / 100
Estudiantes Merida 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Tachira Estudiantes Merida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estudiantes Merida's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Dep. Tachira found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Dep. Tachira remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Tachira VS Estudiantes Merida
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Tachira

(Home)
12 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
2 : 0
Dep. Tachira
06 Sept
Dep. Tachira
3 : 1
Rayo Zuliano
02 Sept
Zamora
2 : 5
Dep. Tachira
30 Aug
Dep. Tachira
0 : 0
Caracas
22 Aug
Metropolitanos
3 : 1
Dep. Tachira
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Estudiantes Merida

(Away)
12 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
2 : 0
Dep. Tachira
07 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0
Estudiantes Merida
03 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1
Universidad Central
30 Aug
Deportivo La Guaira
1 : 2
Estudiantes Merida
22 Aug
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1
Academia Puerto Cabello
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia Puerto Cabello 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
2 Portuguesa 6 2 2 2 7:8 8
3 Deportivo La Guaira 6 1 4 1 5:5 7
4 Universidad Central 6 1 3 2 8:8 6
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Final)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carabobo 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
2 Dep. Tachira 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 Metropolitanos 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
4 Estudiantes Merida 6 1 0 5 2:8 3
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Final)