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Dep. Tachira vs Monagas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Copa Venezuela Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo, San Cristóbal
Dep. Tachira Logo

Dep. Tachira

Wed, Oct 21, 2026
2 - 1
10:00 PM
Monagas Logo

Monagas

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Dep. Tachira
35%
Draws
32%
Monagas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Dep. Tachira carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Dep. Tachira's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Dep. Tachira have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dep. Tachira, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Dep. Tachira Clean Sheet 17%
Monagas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Tachira Monagas
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 16 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.85 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Dep. Tachira vs Monagas
2:1
Aug 16, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Dep. Tachira vs Monagas
3:2
Feb 22, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Dep. Tachira
2:3
Sep 3, 2025 Copa Venezuela
Dep. Tachira vs Monagas
0:1
Aug 20, 2025 Copa Venezuela
Monagas vs Dep. Tachira
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Tachira 48 / 100
Monagas 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Tachira Monagas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. Tachira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dep. Tachira scored in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Monagas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Dep. Tachira stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Tachira VS Monagas
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Tachira

(Home)
17 Oct
Carabobo
2 : 2
Dep. Tachira
10 Oct
Dep. Tachira
4 : 1
Universidad Central
20 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 4
Dep. Tachira
15 Sept
Dep. Tachira
1 : 1
Academia Puerto Cabello
12 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
2 : 0
Dep. Tachira
Page 1 of 6

Monagas

(Away)
18 Oct
Academia Puerto Cabello
3 : 3
Monagas
14 Oct
Monagas
2 : 1
Dynamo Puerto FC
11 Oct
Monagas
2 : 1
Estudiantes Merida
07 Oct
Mineros
1 : 0
Monagas
19 Sept
Rayo Zuliano
1 : 1
Monagas
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Deportivo La Guaira -
Aragua -
Metropolitanos -
Academia Anzoategui -
Carabobo -
Mineros -
Portuguesa -
Zamora -
Universidad Central -
Atletico Barinas -
Estudiantes Merida -
Caracas -
Dep. Tachira -
Monagas -
Academia Puerto Cabello -
Rayo Zuliano -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -