Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dep. Upala vs AD Sarchi

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Dep. Upala Logo

Dep. Upala

1 - 1
FT
AD Sarchi Logo

AD Sarchi

Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Calvo E.
90' Event
Meneses Salazar M. J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 game between Dep. Upala and AD Sarchi finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Dep. Upala
15%
Draws
85%
AD Sarchi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Sarchi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Sarchi come out ahead of Dep. Upala on wins alone.
  • Model gives AD Sarchi a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Dep. Upala Clean Sheet 17%
AD Sarchi Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Upala AD Sarchi
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 2 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.12 1.33
Goals Conceded 2 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Dep. Upala
3:1
Feb 8, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Dep. Upala vs AD Sarchi
2:3
Oct 26, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Dep. Upala vs AD Sarchi
1:1
Sep 9, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Dep. Upala
1:1
Mar 23, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Dep. Upala
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Upala Compare

Top Goalscorer Calvo E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

AD Sarchi Compare

Top Goalscorer Meneses Salazar M. J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Upala 28 / 100
AD Sarchi 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Upala AD Sarchi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Sarchi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Sarchi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.

Dep. Upala scored in 73% of their last 26 games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Away concern: AD Sarchi has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Upala VS AD Sarchi
0.57 Goals Scored 1.13
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.38
71% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Upala

(Home)
12 Apr
Dep. Upala
0 : 3
ADR Jicaral
29 Mar
Dep. Upala
1 : 2
Santa Cruz
21 Mar
AD Sarchi
3 : 1
Dep. Upala
15 Mar
Dep. Upala
1 : 2
Quepos FC
12 Mar
Inter San Carlos
1 : 0
Dep. Upala
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AD Sarchi

(Away)
19 Sept
Cofutpa
1 : 2
AD Sarchi
13 Sept
Santa Cruz
4 : 0
AD Sarchi
06 Sept
AD Sarchi
2 : 1
AD Rosario
30 Aug
Grecia
1 : 0
AD Sarchi
23 Aug
AD Sarchi
1 : 1
Quepos FC
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter San Carlos 14 9 3 2 22:12 30
2 ADR Jicaral 14 7 5 2 23:11 26
3 Quepos FC 14 5 5 4 18:17 20
4 Cofutpa 14 5 3 6 23:24 18
5 AD Sarchi 14 4 6 4 15:17 18
6 Dep. Upala 14 4 4 6 22:23 16
7 Santa Cruz 14 3 4 7 10:20 13
8 Grecia 14 3 2 9 22:31 11
9 Municipal Turrialba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Escorpiones 14 9 4 1 31:18 31
2 FC Moravia 14 7 4 3 25:18 25
3 Cariari Pococi 14 4 6 4 25:18 18
4 Carmelita 14 4 6 4 14:14 18
5 Santa Ana 14 4 6 4 16:17 18
6 CS Uruguay 14 3 5 6 15:24 14
7 Pitbulls 14 2 6 6 10:15 12
8 Aserri 14 3 3 8 11:23 12
9 Limon Black Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Apertura - Play Offs)