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Stadium Background

Deportes Iquique vs Curico Unido Prediction & H2H Stats

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Tierra de Campeones, Iquique
Our Tip

Match Events

58'
Sub
Alfaro J. In: Lopez L.
Out: Alfaro J.
68'
Sub
Aliaga I. In: Jacinto R.
Out: Aliaga I.
68'
Sub
Lopes Acevedo M. In: Retamales J.
Out: Lopes Acevedo M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between Deportes Iquique and Curico Unido finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Deportes Iquique
15%
Draws
36%
Curico Unido
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportes Iquique

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Curico Unido come out ahead of Deportes Iquique on wins alone.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Deportes Iquique taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Deportes Iquique Clean Sheet 68%
Curico Unido Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportes Iquique Curico Unido
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 11 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.28 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Iquique vs Curico Unido
1:1
Nov 14, 2020 Liga de Primera
Deportes Iquique vs Curico Unido
1:2
Feb 8, 2020 Liga de Primera
Curico Unido vs Deportes Iquique
1:0
Aug 31, 2019 Liga de Primera
Curico Unido vs Deportes Iquique
1:2
Feb 16, 2019 Liga de Primera
Deportes Iquique vs Curico Unido
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportes Iquique Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Curico Unido Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanhueza H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Iquique 86 / 100
Curico Unido 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportes Iquique Curico Unido

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportes Iquique Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportes Iquique's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Curico Unido has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Curico Unido's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportes Iquique VS Curico Unido
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportes Iquique

(Home)
27 Sept
Antofagasta
4 : 1
Deportes Iquique
23 Sept
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1
Antofagasta
14 Sept
Rangers
1 : 2
Deportes Iquique
09 Sept
Deportes Iquique
0 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
04 Sept
S. Wanderers
1 : 0
Deportes Iquique
Page 1 of 6

Curico Unido

(Away)
27 Sept
D. Concepcion
2 : 0
Curico Unido
23 Sept
Curico Unido
0 : 4
D. Concepcion
13 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
3 : 0
Curico Unido
08 Sept
Curico Unido
2 : 1
U. Espanola
05 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0
Curico Unido
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 25 12 9 4 43:27 45
2 S. Wanderers 25 12 8 5 40:26 44
3 San Luis 25 12 8 5 39:29 44
4 Magallanes 25 11 7 7 41:38 40
5 Antofagasta 25 10 8 7 42:26 38
6 Recoleta 25 10 8 7 36:33 38
7 San Marcos de Arica 25 9 9 7 31:23 36
8 U. Espanola 25 10 6 9 32:32 36
9 Copiapo 25 9 7 9 37:39 34
10 D. Puerto Montt 25 10 4 11 26:31 34
11 Deportes Temuco 25 8 8 9 40:35 32
12 Deportes Iquique 25 6 10 9 33:30 28
13 Curico Unido 25 6 9 10 22:38 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 25 4 10 11 26:38 22
15 San Felipe 25 5 7 13 16:42 22
16 Rangers 25 4 6 15 23:40 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)