Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportes Iquique vs Curico Unido

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Tierra de Campeones
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Deportes Iquique play Curico Unido in the Liga de Ascenso. It looks like a close match. Recently, Deportes Iquique averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Curico Unido averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Deportes Iquique won 1, Curico Unido won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Deportes Iquique and 1.38 for Curico Unido. This points to a Curico Unido double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Deportes Iquique
35%
Draws
33%
Curico Unido
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Curico Unido

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Deportes Iquique picked up more points recently compared to Curico Unido.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Deportes Iquique Clean Sheet 17%
Curico Unido Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportes Iquique Curico Unido
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 11 11
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.4 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Iquique vs Curico Unido
1:1
Nov 14, 2020 Liga de Primera
Deportes Iquique vs Curico Unido
1:2
Feb 8, 2020 Liga de Primera
Curico Unido vs Deportes Iquique
1:0
Aug 31, 2019 Liga de Primera
Curico Unido vs Deportes Iquique
1:2
Feb 16, 2019 Liga de Primera
Deportes Iquique vs Curico Unido
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportes Iquique Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Curico Unido Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanhueza H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Iquique 32 / 100
Curico Unido 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportes Iquique Curico Unido

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Curico Unido or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Deportes Iquique attacking → ← attacking Curico Unido

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportes Iquique scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Curico Unido let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Deportes Iquique went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Curico Unido lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 35
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cobreloa1585230:1729
2S. Wanderers1575329:1826
3San Marcos de Arica1567219:1125
4Deportes Temuco1565426:1823
5Antofagasta1565422:1623
6San Luis1565424:2123
7D. Puerto Montt1572617:1623
8U. Espanola1564521:1922
9Magallanes1564524:2422
10Recoleta1564524:2422
11Copiapo1564521:2322
12Curico Unido1546516:2418
13San Felipe1544713:2716
14Deportes Iquique1527619:2313
15Deportes Santa Cruz1526719:2612
16Rangers15031211:283