Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportes Iquique vs San Marcos de Arica

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Tierra de Campeones
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Rojas D.
18'
Melivilu Fuentes C.
27'
Espinoza F.

AI Match Summary

Deportes Iquique in this Copa Chile matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportes Iquique.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Deportes Iquique
6%
Draws
4%
San Marcos de Arica
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Deportes Iquique

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Deportes Iquique haven't matched San Marcos de Arica's recent run of results.
  • Deportes Iquique are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Deportes Iquique Clean Sheet 18%
San Marcos de Arica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportes Iquique San Marcos de Arica
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 11 10
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Iquique vs San Marcos de Arica
0:0
Feb 7, 2026 Copa Chile
San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Iquique
0:0
Jan 31, 2026 Copa Chile
Deportes Iquique vs San Marcos de Arica
4:0
Jul 8, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Iquique vs San Marcos de Arica
2:1
Jun 26, 2023 Copa Chile
Deportes Iquique vs San Marcos de Arica
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportes Iquique Compare

Top Goalscorer Ledesma F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barrera B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

San Marcos de Arica Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Iquique 85 / 100
San Marcos de Arica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportes Iquique San Marcos de Arica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: San Marcos de Arica registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Deportes Iquique scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

San Marcos de Arica has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Deportes Iquique VS San Marcos de Arica
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coquimbo52307:39
2Deportes Iquique52219:58
3Limache522110:88
4San Marcos de Arica50142:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1U. Catolica650114:915
2Everton622210:98
3San Luis613211:106
4Copiapo61143:104
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Antofagasta651012:516
2Cobreloa62227:68
3La Serena62137:107
4Cobresal60242:72
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1U. De Chile531112:710
2Union La Calera52219:68
3San Felipe52126:77
4S. Wanderers51047:143
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colo Colo531112:810
2O Higgins522110:78
3Recoleta51225:85
4U. Espanola51134:84
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nublense53118:510
2Curico Unido52217:68
3Rangers52034:66
4U. De Concepcion51137:94
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportes Santa Cruz641111:613
2A. Italiano64029:712
3Palestino631212:910
4Magallanes60065:150
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1D. Concepcion641110:613
2D. Puerto Montt63128:610
3Huachipato62047:96
4Deportes Temuco61234:85