Sport Picks

Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Municipal Joaquín Muñoz García, Santa Cruz

Deportes Santa Cruz

2 - 1

A. Italiano

Our Tip

Match Events

22'

Mateos F.

25'

Orellana F.

32'

Mateos F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Deportes Santa Cruz

35%

Draws

35%

A. Italiano

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence

A. Italiano have won more games recently than Deportes Santa Cruz.
Model gives Deportes Santa Cruz a 30% chance of winning this.
A. Italiano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Deportes Santa Cruz, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 4 times recently and Deportes Santa Cruz have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

Deportes Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 20%

A. Italiano Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Deportes Santa Cruz	A. Italiano
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	6	11
Draws	10	10
Losses	13	9
Goals Scored	1.07	1.27
Goals Conceded	1.48	1.33
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Copa Chile

Deportes Santa Cruz vs A. Italiano

2:1

Jun 19, 2026 Copa Chile

A. Italiano vs Deportes Santa Cruz

0:1

Jun 30, 2024 Copa Chile

A. Italiano vs Deportes Santa Cruz

0:2

Jun 23, 2024 Copa Chile

Deportes Santa Cruz vs A. Italiano

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportes Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Plaza D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Arias D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

A. Italiano Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateos F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Santa Cruz 49 / 100

A. Italiano 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Deportes Santa Cruz A. Italiano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDSC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportes Santa Cruz scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

A. Italiano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Deportes Santa Cruz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportes Santa Cruz VS A. Italiano

0.63 Goals Scored 0.75

1 Goals Conceded 1.13

50% Over 1.5 38%

25% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportes Santa Cruz

(Home)

24 Sept

O Higgins

2 : 1

Deportes Santa Cruz

14 Sept

Deportes Santa Cruz

0 : 0

Recoleta

09 Sept

Deportes Iquique

0 : 1

Deportes Santa Cruz

05 Sept

Deportes Santa Cruz

1 : 1

U. Espanola

29 Aug

San Felipe

0 : 0

Deportes Santa Cruz

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A. Italiano

(Away)

25 Sept

Colo Colo

1 : 0

A. Italiano

22 Sept

A. Italiano

0 : 0

Colo Colo

13 Sept

A. Italiano

1 : 0

O Higgins

05 Sept

D. Concepcion

0 : 1

A. Italiano

30 Aug

Colo Colo

5 : 1

A. Italiano

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