Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportes Santa Cruz vs Cobreloa

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal Joaquín Muñoz García
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Deportes Santa Cruz play Cobreloa in the Liga de Ascenso. It looks like a close match. Recently, Deportes Santa Cruz averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Cobreloa averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. In past meetings, Deportes Santa Cruz won 0, Cobreloa won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Feb 27, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Deportes Santa Cruz and 1.44 for Cobreloa. This points to a Cobreloa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Deportes Santa Cruz
35%
Draws
39%
Cobreloa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cobreloa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Deportes Santa Cruz picked up more points recently compared to Cobreloa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
Deportes Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 16%
Cobreloa Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportes Santa Cruz Cobreloa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 10 10
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.17 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Cobreloa
0:0
Oct 4, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Cobreloa
1:2
May 23, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Cobreloa vs Deportes Santa Cruz
1:1
Sep 21, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
Cobreloa vs Deportes Santa Cruz
2:0
Apr 23, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Cobreloa
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Santa Cruz 27 / 100
Cobreloa 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportes Santa Cruz Cobreloa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cobreloa or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Deportes Santa Cruz attacking → ← attacking Cobreloa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportes Santa Cruz scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Cobreloa let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Deportes Santa Cruz went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Cobreloa lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 52
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cobreloa1585230:1729
2S. Wanderers1575329:1826
3San Marcos de Arica1567219:1125
4Deportes Temuco1565426:1823
5Antofagasta1565422:1623
6San Luis1565424:2123
7D. Puerto Montt1572617:1623
8U. Espanola1564521:1922
9Magallanes1564524:2422
10Recoleta1564524:2422
11Copiapo1564521:2322
12Curico Unido1546516:2418
13San Felipe1544713:2716
14Deportes Iquique1527619:2313
15Deportes Santa Cruz1526719:2612
16Rangers15031211:283