Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportes Santa Cruz vs Deportes Iquique

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal Joaquín Muñoz García, Santa Cruz
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Sub
Ramos A. In: Diaz I.
Out: Ramos A.
12' Event
Arias D.
19' Event
Arias D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between Deportes Santa Cruz and Deportes Iquique finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Deportes Santa Cruz
44%
Draws
20%
Deportes Iquique
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Deportes Santa Cruz have managed 1.25 goals a game lately — Deportes Iquique are scoring more at 1.38.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Deportes Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 19%
Deportes Iquique Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportes Santa Cruz Deportes Iquique
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Deportes Iquique
2:2
Oct 9, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Deportes Iquique
1:2
May 28, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Iquique vs Deportes Santa Cruz
1:0
Aug 15, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Deportes Iquique
1:0
Apr 3, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Iquique vs Deportes Santa Cruz
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportes Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Arias D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Deportes Iquique Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garrido B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Santa Cruz 36 / 100
Deportes Iquique 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportes Santa Cruz Deportes Iquique

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Deportes Santa Cruz scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Deportes Iquique has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Deportes Santa Cruz remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportes Santa Cruz VS Deportes Iquique
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportes Santa Cruz

(Home)
25 Jul
Cobreloa
4 : 2
Deportes Santa Cruz
11 Jul
Palestino
3 : 2
Deportes Santa Cruz
05 Jul
Deportes Santa Cruz
2 : 1
A. Italiano
27 Jun
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0
Palestino
19 Jun
A. Italiano
0 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

Deportes Iquique

(Away)
25 Jul
Deportes Iquique
1 : 0
Deportes Temuco
04 Jul
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1
Coquimbo
27 Jun
Limache
1 : 4
Deportes Iquique
20 Jun
Coquimbo
3 : 0
Deportes Iquique
07 Jun
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1
Recoleta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cobreloa1695234:1932
2S. Wanderers1685331:1829
3San Marcos de Arica1677221:1128
4San Luis1675426:2226
5D. Puerto Montt1682620:1826
6Deportes Temuco1665526:1923
7Antofagasta1665524:1923
8Copiapo1665521:2323
9U. Espanola1564521:1922
10Recoleta1564524:2422
11Magallanes1664624:2622
12Curico Unido1646617:2618
13Deportes Iquique1637620:2316
14San Felipe1644813:2916
15Deportes Santa Cruz1626821:3012
16Rangers16041211:284
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)