Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportes Santa Cruz vs Deportes Temuco

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal Joaquín Muñoz García, Santa Cruz
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Rocha C.
24' Event
Pinto M.
31' Event
Herrera H.

AI Match Summary

Deportes Temuco in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportes Temuco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Deportes Santa Cruz
22%
Draws
18%
Deportes Temuco
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Deportes Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Deportes Santa Cruz at 1 per game, Deportes Temuco at 0.88.
  • Win probability leans Deportes Santa Cruz's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Deportes Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 68%
Deportes Temuco Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportes Santa Cruz Deportes Temuco
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Deportes Temuco
2:3
Oct 19, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Temuco vs Deportes Santa Cruz
0:0
Jul 5, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Deportes Temuco
2:0
Sep 14, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Deportes Temuco
3:1
May 4, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Temuco vs Deportes Santa Cruz
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportes Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinto M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Herrera H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Deportes Temuco Compare

Top Goalscorer Rocha C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cuadra M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Santa Cruz 68 / 100
Deportes Temuco 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportes Santa Cruz Deportes Temuco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDSC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportes Temuco has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Deportes Santa Cruz's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Deportes Santa Cruz went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportes Santa Cruz VS Deportes Temuco
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportes Santa Cruz

(Home)
25 Jul
Cobreloa
4 : 2
Deportes Santa Cruz
11 Jul
Palestino
3 : 2
Deportes Santa Cruz
05 Jul
Deportes Santa Cruz
2 : 1
A. Italiano
27 Jun
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0
Palestino
19 Jun
A. Italiano
0 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
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Deportes Temuco

(Away)
25 Jul
Deportes Iquique
1 : 0
Deportes Temuco
12 Jul
Deportes Temuco
0 : 1
Huachipato
06 Jul
D. Concepcion
2 : 0
Deportes Temuco
28 Jun
Huachipato
2 : 0
Deportes Temuco
21 Jun
Deportes Temuco
1 : 1
D. Concepcion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cobreloa1695234:1932
2S. Wanderers1685331:1829
3San Marcos de Arica1677221:1128
4San Luis1675426:2226
5D. Puerto Montt1682620:1826
6U. Espanola1674523:2025
7Deportes Temuco1665526:1923
8Antofagasta1665524:1923
9Copiapo1665521:2323
10Recoleta1664625:2622
11Magallanes1664624:2622
12Curico Unido1646617:2618
13Deportes Iquique1637620:2316
14San Felipe1644813:2916
15Deportes Santa Cruz1626821:3012
16Rangers16041211:284
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)