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Stadium Background

Deportes Santa Cruz vs S. Wanderers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal Joaquín Muñoz García, Santa Cruz
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Plaza D.
19' Event
Navarro L.
27'
Portilla D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between Deportes Santa Cruz and S. Wanderers finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward S. Wanderers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Deportes Santa Cruz
15%
Draws
64%
S. Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: S. Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and S. Wanderers come out ahead of Deportes Santa Cruz on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Deportes Santa Cruz's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Deportes Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 20%
S. Wanderers Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportes Santa Cruz S. Wanderers
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs S. Wanderers
1:3
Mar 9, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
S. Wanderers vs Deportes Santa Cruz
3:2
Sep 14, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
S. Wanderers vs Deportes Santa Cruz
1:1
May 18, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs S. Wanderers
2:2
Jul 21, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs S. Wanderers
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportes Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Zeineddin N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

S. Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Navarro L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ponce C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Santa Cruz 42 / 100
S. Wanderers 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportes Santa Cruz S. Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Deportes Santa Cruz found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: S. Wanderers conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

S. Wanderers's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportes Santa Cruz VS S. Wanderers
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportes Santa Cruz

(Home)
10 Oct
Deportes Temuco
2 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
03 Oct
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 2
San Marcos de Arica
27 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 3
O Higgins
24 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
14 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0
Recoleta
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S. Wanderers

(Away)
10 Oct
S. Wanderers
1 : 2
Curico Unido
03 Oct
Recoleta
2 : 1
S. Wanderers
26 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 0
S. Wanderers
08 Sept
Deportes Temuco
3 : 0
S. Wanderers
04 Sept
S. Wanderers
1 : 0
Deportes Iquique
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 44:27 48
2 San Luis 26 13 8 5 41:29 47
3 Magallanes 27 13 7 7 44:39 46
4 S. Wanderers 27 12 8 7 42:30 44
5 Antofagasta 26 11 8 7 44:26 41
6 Recoleta 27 11 8 8 39:36 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 26 10 9 7 33:24 39
8 Copiapo 26 10 7 9 40:39 37
9 U. Espanola 26 10 6 10 32:34 36
10 Deportes Temuco 27 9 8 10 42:37 35
11 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 26:34 34
12 Deportes Iquique 26 7 10 9 35:30 31
13 Curico Unido 27 7 9 11 24:40 27
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 27 4 10 13 28:42 22
15 San Felipe 26 5 7 14 16:44 22
16 Rangers 26 4 6 16 23:42 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)