Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal Joaquín Muñoz García
Sun, Jul 19, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

No Data

No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Deportes Santa Cruz host San Marcos de Arica in the Liga de Ascenso. This one's hard to separate. San Marcos de Arica have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Deportes Santa Cruz have conceded 1 and scored 1. Head-to-head, Deportes Santa Cruz have won 3 to San Marcos de Arica's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 20, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.06 - 0.94) back San Marcos de Arica to edge this. San Marcos de Arica in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Deportes Santa Cruz
6%
Draws
4%
San Marcos de Arica
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Deportes Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • San Marcos de Arica has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Deportes Santa Cruz.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Deportes Santa Cruz.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga de Ascenso provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Deportes Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 20%
San Marcos de Arica Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportes Santa Cruz San Marcos de Arica
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 10 10
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Santa Cruz
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica
1:0
Jun 15, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Santa Cruz
2:1
Aug 10, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica
1:0
Mar 31, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Santa Cruz
3:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Santa Cruz 85 / 100
San Marcos de Arica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportes Santa Cruz San Marcos de Arica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDSC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportes Santa Cruz scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

San Marcos de Arica let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Deportes Santa Cruz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

San Marcos de Arica lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportes Santa Cruz VS San Marcos de Arica
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cobreloa1585230:1729
2S. Wanderers1575329:1826
3San Marcos de Arica1567219:1125
4Deportes Temuco1565426:1823
5Antofagasta1565422:1623
6San Luis1565424:2123
7D. Puerto Montt1572617:1623
8U. Espanola1564521:1922
9Magallanes1564524:2422
10Recoleta1564524:2422
11Copiapo1564521:2322
12Curico Unido1546516:2418
13San Felipe1544713:2716
14Deportes Iquique1527619:2313
15Deportes Santa Cruz1526719:2612
16Rangers15031211:283