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Deportes Temuco vs Deportes Santa Cruz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal Germán Becker, Temuco
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Sub
Lettieri E. In: Sanhueza M.
Out: Lettieri E.
24'
Sanhueza M.
42' Event
Acevedo L.

AI Match Summary

Deportes Temuco in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportes Temuco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Deportes Temuco
20%
Draws
29%
Deportes Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Deportes Temuco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Deportes Temuco lately — more wins on the board than Deportes Santa Cruz.
  • Model gives Deportes Temuco a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Deportes Temuco Clean Sheet 20%
Deportes Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportes Temuco Deportes Santa Cruz
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Temuco vs Deportes Santa Cruz
2:1
May 18, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Deportes Temuco
2:3
Oct 19, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Temuco vs Deportes Santa Cruz
0:0
Jul 5, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Deportes Temuco
2:0
Sep 14, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Deportes Temuco
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportes Temuco Compare

Top Goalscorer Acevedo L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Contreras P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Deportes Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Plaza D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Temuco 76 / 100
Deportes Santa Cruz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportes Temuco Deportes Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportes Temuco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportes Temuco found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Deportes Santa Cruz let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Deportes Temuco has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Deportes Temuco VS Deportes Santa Cruz
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportes Temuco

(Home)
03 Oct
Deportes Temuco
0 : 1
Cobreloa
15 Sept
U. Espanola
1 : 1
Deportes Temuco
08 Sept
Deportes Temuco
3 : 0
S. Wanderers
04 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
Deportes Temuco
30 Aug
Deportes Temuco
3 : 1
D. Puerto Montt
Page 1 of 6

Deportes Santa Cruz

(Away)
03 Oct
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 2
San Marcos de Arica
27 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 3
O Higgins
24 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
14 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0
Recoleta
09 Sept
Deportes Iquique
0 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 44:27 48
2 San Luis 26 13 8 5 41:29 47
3 S. Wanderers 26 12 8 6 41:28 44
4 Magallanes 26 12 7 7 42:38 43
5 Antofagasta 26 11 8 7 44:26 41
6 Recoleta 26 11 8 7 38:34 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 26 10 9 7 33:24 39
8 Copiapo 26 10 7 9 40:39 37
9 U. Espanola 26 10 6 10 32:34 36
10 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 26:34 34
11 Deportes Temuco 26 8 8 10 40:36 32
12 Deportes Iquique 26 7 10 9 35:30 31
13 Curico Unido 26 6 9 11 22:39 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 26 4 10 12 27:40 22
15 San Felipe 26 5 7 14 16:44 22
16 Rangers 26 4 6 16 23:42 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)