Sport Picks
Deportes Tolima vs Chico - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibagué 
Match Events
9'
9'
Barbosa Gomez S. P.
45'
45'
Pimentel J.
55'
55'
Sub
Blanco Betancur C. In: Ramirez Raigosa D. A.
Out: Blanco Betancur C.
AI Match Summary
The Primera A game between Deportes Tolima and Chico finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chico
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Deportes Tolima carry the better recent record into this one.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Deportes Tolima taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Deportes Tolima Clean Sheet 19%
Chico Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | Chico |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.22 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Chico
0:0
Mar 23, 2026 Primera A
Chico vs Deportes Tolima
1:1
Sep 15, 2025 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Chico
4:0
Apr 2, 2025 Primera A
Chico vs Deportes Tolima
1:4
Sep 14, 2024 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Chico
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportes Tolima 36 / 100
Chico 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportes Tolima Chico
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Deportes Tolima scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.
Chico has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Deportes Tolima has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Deportes Tolima VS Chico
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportes Tolima
(Home) 08 Oct
Atl. Nacional
0 : 0 Deportes Tolima
03 Oct
Deportes Tolima
0 : 0 Chico
27 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2 : 2 Deportes Tolima
20 Sept
Deportes Tolima
1 : 1 America De Cali
16 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0 Deportes Tolima
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Deportes Tolima
0 : 0 Chico
20 Sept
Deportes Tolima
1 : 1 America De Cali
01 Sept
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1 Cucuta
22 Aug
Deportes Tolima
0 : 0 Bucaramanga
19 Aug
Deportes Tolima
0 : 1 Independiente del Valle
Page 1 of 4
Chico
(Away) 03 Oct
Deportes Tolima
0 : 0 Chico
25 Sept
Chico
3 : 0 Dep. Pasto
19 Sept
Millonarios
3 : 0 Chico
16 Sept
Chico
1 : 2 Alianza
12 Sept
Chico
2 : 1 Ind. Medellin
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Deportes Tolima
0 : 0 Chico
19 Sept
Millonarios
3 : 0 Chico
30 Aug
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2 Chico
21 Aug
Jaguares de Cordoba
1 : 0 Chico
08 Aug
Santa Fe
2 : 0 Chico
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America De Cali | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20:9 | 24 |
| 3 | Atl. Nacional | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 23 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 20:10 | 23 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 7 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 9 | Cucuta | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 10 | Llaneros | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:16 | 14 |
| 11 | Aguilas Doradas | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 12 | Once Caldas | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:16 | 13 |
| 13 | Inter Bogotá | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14:18 | 13 |
| 14 | Chico | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 16 | Alianza | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:24 | 11 |
| 17 | Junior | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:20 | 9 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:18 | 9 |
| 19 | Dep. Pereira | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7:17 | 8 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)
