Sport Picks
Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibagué 
Match Events
28'
28'
Angulo A.
32'
32'
Sanchez L.
45'
45'
Mejia V.
AI Match Summary
Deportes Tolima in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportes Tolima.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cucuta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Cucuta haven't matched Deportes Tolima's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Deportes Tolima Clean Sheet 20%
Cucuta Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | Cucuta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 1, 2026 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta
2:1
Feb 23, 2026 Primera A
Cucuta vs Deportes Tolima
3:2
Nov 19, 2020 Copa Colombia
Cucuta vs Deportes Tolima
0:3
Oct 11, 2020 Primera A
Cucuta vs Deportes Tolima
0:3
Sep 27, 2020 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportes Tolima Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanchez L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Florez K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Cucuta Compare
Top Goalscorer Torres G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportes Tolima 31 / 100
Cucuta 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportes Tolima Cucuta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Deportes Tolima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Deportes Tolima scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Cucuta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Deportes Tolima stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Deportes Tolima VS Cucuta
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportes Tolima
(Home) 16 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0 Deportes Tolima
12 Sept
Santa Fe
1 : 0 Deportes Tolima
07 Sept
Llaneros
1 : 2 Deportes Tolima
01 Sept
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1 Cucuta
26 Aug
Independiente del Valle
3 : 1 Deportes Tolima
Page 1 of 6
01 Sept
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1 Cucuta
22 Aug
Deportes Tolima
0 : 0 Bucaramanga
19 Aug
Deportes Tolima
0 : 1 Independiente del Valle
08 Aug
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1 Inter Bogotá
04 Aug
Deportes Tolima
2 : 3 Ind. Medellin
Page 1 of 3
Cucuta
(Away) 14 Sept
Cucuta
1 : 2 Millonarios
05 Sept
Cucuta
2 : 2 Dep. Pasto
01 Sept
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1 Cucuta
26 Aug
Cucuta
1 : 0 Alianza
23 Aug
Ind. Medellin
0 : 1 Cucuta
Page 1 of 6
01 Sept
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1 Cucuta
23 Aug
Ind. Medellin
0 : 1 Cucuta
08 Aug
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2 : 0 Cucuta
04 Aug
Bucaramanga
1 : 1 Cucuta
27 Jul
Once Caldas
5 : 1 Cucuta
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America De Cali | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:5 | 20 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:10 | 16 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 16 |
| 5 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | 14 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:9 | 13 |
| 8 | Dep. Cali | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 10 | Aguilas Doradas | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Inter Bogotá | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:15 | 11 |
| 13 | Cucuta | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:15 | 9 |
| 14 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 15 | Alianza | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:16 | 8 |
| 16 | Chico | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:15 | 8 |
| 17 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:14 | 7 |
| 18 | Dep. Pereira | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | 7 |
| 19 | Dep. Pasto | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:15 | 5 |
| 20 | Junior | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8:13 | 3 |
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)
