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Deportes Tolima vs Dep. Tachira Prediction & H2H Stats

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibagué
Deportes Tolima Logo

Deportes Tolima

Fri, Feb 27, 2026
1 - 1
12:30 AM
Dep. Tachira Logo

Dep. Tachira

Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Arrieta C.
11'
Florez K.
59'
Sub
Torres Patino J. P. In: Sandoval L.
Out: Torres Patino J. P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Deportes Tolima
35%
Draws
50%
Dep. Tachira
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dep. Tachira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dep. Tachira lately — more wins on the board than Deportes Tolima.
  • Dep. Tachira are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Dep. Tachira arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Deportes Tolima, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Deportes Tolima Clean Sheet 16%
Dep. Tachira Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportes Tolima Dep. Tachira
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 18
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.17 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Deportes Tolima vs Dep. Tachira
1:1
Feb 20, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Dep. Tachira vs Deportes Tolima
0:1
Feb 8, 2007 Copa Libertadores
Deportes Tolima vs Dep. Tachira
2:0
Jan 30, 2007 Copa Libertadores
Dep. Tachira vs Deportes Tolima
1:2
Apr 8, 2004 Copa Libertadores
Dep. Tachira vs Deportes Tolima
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Tolima 23 / 100
Dep. Tachira 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportes Tolima Dep. Tachira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. Tachira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Deportes Tolima scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Dep. Tachira let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Deportes Tolima stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportes Tolima VS Dep. Tachira
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportes Tolima

(Home)
03 Oct
Deportes Tolima
0 : 0
Chico
27 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2 : 2
Deportes Tolima
20 Sept
Deportes Tolima
1 : 1
America De Cali
16 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Deportes Tolima
12 Sept
Santa Fe
1 : 0
Deportes Tolima
Page 1 of 6

Dep. Tachira

(Away)
20 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 4
Dep. Tachira
15 Sept
Dep. Tachira
1 : 1
Academia Puerto Cabello
12 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
2 : 0
Dep. Tachira
06 Sept
Dep. Tachira
3 : 1
Rayo Zuliano
02 Sept
Zamora
2 : 5
Dep. Tachira
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Juventud 5
U. Catolica 4
TBD -
Guarani -
Liverpool M. -
TBD -
TBD -
Ind. Medellin -
The Strongest 2
Dep. Tachira 3
TBD -
Deportes Tolima -
O Higgins -
TBD -
TBD -
Bahia -
2 de Mayo 2
A. Lima 1
TBD -
Sporting Cristal -
Carabobo -
TBD -
TBD -
Huachipato -
Barcelona SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Argentinos Jrs -
Nacional Potosi -
TBD -
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
Semi-finals
Juventud 2
Guarani 1
Liverpool M. 1
Ind. Medellin 2
Dep. Tachira 1
Deportes Tolima 2
O Higgins 3
Bahia 2
2 de Mayo 2
Sporting Cristal 3
Carabobo 3
Huachipato 1
Barcelona SC 2
Argentinos Jrs 1
Nacional Potosi 1
Botafogo RJ 2
Final
Juventud 2
Ind. Medellin 3
Deportes Tolima 2
O Higgins 1
Sporting Cristal 3
Carabobo 2
Barcelona SC 2
Botafogo RJ 1