Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportes Tolima vs Junior

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibagué
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Deportes Tolima and Junior finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportes Tolima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Deportes Tolima
44%
Draws
20%
Junior
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportes Tolima come out ahead of Junior on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Deportes Tolima Clean Sheet 19%
Junior Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportes Tolima Junior
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 0.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Primera A
Junior vs Deportes Tolima
0:2
Dec 17, 2025 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Junior
0:1
Dec 13, 2025 Primera A
Junior vs Deportes Tolima
3:0
Oct 5, 2025 Primera A
Junior vs Deportes Tolima
0:1
Jun 19, 2025 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Junior
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Tolima 36 / 100
Junior 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportes Tolima Junior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JUN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Deportes Tolima scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Junior has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Deportes Tolima stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportes Tolima VS Junior
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportes Tolima

(Home)
21 Jul
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1
Quindio
27 May
Universitario de Deportes
0 : 0
Deportes Tolima
23 May
Atl. Nacional
3 : 1
Deportes Tolima
19 May
Coquimbo
3 : 0
Deportes Tolima
16 May
Deportes Tolima
0 : 1
Atl. Nacional
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Junior

(Away)
23 Jul
Junior
2 : 2
Barranquilla
08 Jun
Atl. Nacional
1 : 0
Junior
03 Jun
Junior
3 : 0
Atl. Nacional
28 May
Palmeiras
4 : 1
Junior
24 May
Junior
1 : 0
Santa Fe
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dep. Cali11002:03
2Ind. Medellin11003:23
3Llaneros11001:03
4Chico00000:00
5America De Cali00000:00
6Santa Fe00000:00
7Inter Bogotá00000:00
8Atl. Nacional00000:00
9Bucaramanga00000:00
10Cucuta00000:00
11Deportes Tolima00000:00
12Junior00000:00
13Millonarios00000:00
14Once Caldas00000:00
15Aguilas Doradas00000:00
16Alianza00000:00
17Fortaleza C.E.I.F.00000:00
18Dep. Pasto10012:30
19Dep. Pereira10010:10
20Jaguares de Cordoba10010:20
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)