Sport Picks
Deportes Tolima vs Junior
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibagué 
Match Events
25'
25'
Sarmiento J.
37'
37'
Hurtado J.
Assist: Hernandez J.
45'
45'
Florez K.
Assist: Hurtado J.
AI Match Summary
The Primera A game between Deportes Tolima and Junior finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportes Tolima.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Deportes Tolima
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Deportes Tolima come out ahead of Junior on wins alone.
- 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Deportes Tolima Clean Sheet 17%
Junior Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | Junior |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Junior
2:1
Jan 18, 2026 Primera A
Junior vs Deportes Tolima
0:2
Dec 17, 2025 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Junior
0:1
Dec 13, 2025 Primera A
Junior vs Deportes Tolima
3:0
Oct 5, 2025 Primera A
Junior vs Deportes Tolima
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportes Tolima Compare
Top Goalscorer Hurtado J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Florez K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Junior Compare
Top Goalscorer Paiva G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportes Tolima 36 / 100
Junior 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportes Tolima Junior
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Junior Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Deportes Tolima scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Junior has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Deportes Tolima stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Deportes Tolima VS Junior
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportes Tolima
(Home) 20 Sept
Deportes Tolima
1 : 1 America De Cali
16 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0 Deportes Tolima
12 Sept
Santa Fe
1 : 0 Deportes Tolima
07 Sept
Llaneros
1 : 2 Deportes Tolima
01 Sept
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1 Cucuta
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Deportes Tolima
1 : 1 America De Cali
01 Sept
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1 Cucuta
22 Aug
Deportes Tolima
0 : 0 Bucaramanga
19 Aug
Deportes Tolima
0 : 1 Independiente del Valle
08 Aug
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1 Inter Bogotá
Page 1 of 4
Junior
(Away) 20 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 4 Junior
13 Sept
Alianza
1 : 0 Junior
06 Sept
Junior
3 : 3 Jaguares de Cordoba
29 Aug
Junior
1 : 1 Santa Fe
26 Aug
America De Cali
4 : 2 Junior
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 4 Junior
13 Sept
Alianza
1 : 0 Junior
26 Aug
America De Cali
4 : 2 Junior
29 Jul
Barranquilla
4 : 3 Junior
26 Jul
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1 Junior
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America De Cali | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22:6 | 24 |
| 2 | Millonarios | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 3 | Atl. Nacional | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Ind. Medellin | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:11 | 19 |
| 5 | Dep. Cali | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:8 | 18 |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:11 | 17 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:11 | 16 |
| 9 | Llaneros | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Aguilas Doradas | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 12 | Inter Bogotá | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 13 | Chico | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:18 | 11 |
| 14 | Cucuta | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:18 | 9 |
| 15 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 16 | Dep. Pasto | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:18 | 8 |
| 17 | Alianza | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:20 | 8 |
| 18 | Dep. Pereira | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | 7 |
| 19 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 20 | Junior | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:14 | 6 |
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)
