Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportes Tolima vs Quindio

Colombia Colombia

Copa Colombia Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibagué
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Ocampo J.
72' Event
Valencia J.
82' Event
Valencia E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Deportes Tolima
20%
Draws
29%
Quindio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Deportes Tolima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Deportes Tolima haven't matched Quindio's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Deportes Tolima taking it.
  • Quindio arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Deportes Tolima, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Deportes Tolima Clean Sheet 68%
Quindio Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportes Tolima Quindio
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.43 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Copa Colombia
Quindio vs Deportes Tolima
3:1
Jul 21, 2026 Copa Colombia
Deportes Tolima vs Quindio
2:1
Nov 21, 2021 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Quindio
3:1
Apr 27, 2017 Copa Colombia
Quindio vs Deportes Tolima
1:3
Mar 15, 2017 Copa Colombia
Deportes Tolima vs Quindio
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportes Tolima Compare

Top Goalscorer Valencia J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valencia E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Quindio Compare

Top Goalscorer Ocampo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Tolima 50 / 100
Quindio 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportes Tolima Quindio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Deportes Tolima's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Deportes Tolima went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Quindio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportes Tolima VS Quindio
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportes Tolima

(Home)
08 Aug
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1
Inter Bogotá
04 Aug
Deportes Tolima
2 : 3
Ind. Medellin
01 Aug
Alianza
1 : 2
Deportes Tolima
28 Jul
Quindio
3 : 1
Deportes Tolima
26 Jul
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1
Junior
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Quindio

(Away)
08 Aug
Quindio
1 : 1
Inter Palmira
03 Aug
Leones
1 : 1
Quindio
28 Jul
Quindio
3 : 1
Deportes Tolima
24 Jul
Quindio
0 : 1
Boca Juniors de Cali
21 Jul
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1
Quindio
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Atl. Nacional 4
Tigres Futbol Club 0
Junior 5
Barranquilla 6
Dep. Pasto 3
Bogota 1
America De Cali 3
Cartagena 2
Once Caldas 6
Envigado 0
Deportes Tolima 3
Quindio 4
Santa Fe 2
Union Magdalena 0
Inter Bogotá 3
Inter Palmira 1