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Deportes Tolima vs Quindio Prediction & H2H Stats

Colombia Colombia

Copa Colombia Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibagué
Deportes Tolima Logo

Deportes Tolima

2 - 1
FT
Quindio Logo

Quindio

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Ocampo J.
72' Event
Valencia J.
82' Event
Valencia E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Deportes Tolima
35%
Draws
32%
Quindio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Quindio haven't matched Deportes Tolima's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Deportes Tolima taking it.
  • Deportes Tolima have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Deportes Tolima, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Deportes Tolima Clean Sheet 20%
Quindio Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportes Tolima Quindio
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Copa Colombia
Quindio vs Deportes Tolima
3:1
Jul 21, 2026 Copa Colombia
Deportes Tolima vs Quindio
2:1
Nov 21, 2021 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Quindio
3:1
Apr 27, 2017 Copa Colombia
Quindio vs Deportes Tolima
1:3
Mar 15, 2017 Copa Colombia
Deportes Tolima vs Quindio
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportes Tolima Compare

Top Goalscorer Valencia J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valencia E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Quindio Compare

Top Goalscorer Ocampo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Tolima 42 / 100
Quindio 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportes Tolima Quindio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Deportes Tolima's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Deportes Tolima went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Quindio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportes Tolima VS Quindio
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportes Tolima

(Home)
27 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2 : 2
Deportes Tolima
20 Sept
Deportes Tolima
1 : 1
America De Cali
16 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Deportes Tolima
12 Sept
Santa Fe
1 : 0
Deportes Tolima
07 Sept
Llaneros
1 : 2
Deportes Tolima
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Quindio

(Away)
28 Sept
Quindio
1 : 0
Bogota
21 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
3 : 1
Quindio
13 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2
Patriotas
09 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
0 : 0
Quindio
05 Sept
Quindio
0 : 0
Real Santander
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Atl. Nacional 4
Tigres Futbol Club 0
Junior 5
Barranquilla 6
Dep. Pasto 3
Bogota 1
America De Cali 3
Cartagena 2
Once Caldas 6
Envigado 0
Deportes Tolima 3
Quindio 4
Santa Fe 3
Union Magdalena 1
Inter Bogotá 3
Inter Palmira 1