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Deportes Tolima W vs Huila W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women 2023 Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Deportes Tolima W play Huila W in the Liga Women 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Deportes Tolima W averaged 0.9 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. Huila W averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Deportes Tolima W won 1, Huila W won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 14, 2023 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Deportes Tolima W and 2.00 for Huila W. This points to a Huila W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Deportes Tolima W
25%
Draws
51%
Huila W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Huila W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Deportes Tolima W picked up more points recently compared to Huila W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Deportes Tolima W Clean Sheet 10%
Huila W Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportes Tolima W Huila W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2023 Liga Women
Deportes Tolima W vs Huila W
1:3
Mar 27, 2022 Liga Women
Huila W vs Deportes Tolima W
1:1
Aug 14, 2019 Liga Women
Huila W vs Deportes Tolima W
4:0
Jul 20, 2019 Liga Women
Deportes Tolima W vs Huila W
1:2
May 2, 2018 Liga Women
Deportes Tolima W vs Huila W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportes Tolima W Compare

Top Goalscorer Suarez C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Huila W Compare

Top Goalscorer Paez S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Arroyo S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Tolima W 24 / 100
Huila W 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportes Tolima W Huila W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Huila W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Deportes Tolima W attacking → ← attacking Huila W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportes Tolima W scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Huila W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Deportes Tolima W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Huila W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 36
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1America de Cali W16131243:840
2Indep. Santa Fe W16105133:1235
3Atl. Nacional W1686228:930
4Deportivo Pereira W1685328:2029
5Dep. Cali W1676324:1827
6Ind. Medellin W1683525:2027
7Inter Palmira W1674520:1325
8Inter Bogotá W1672728:2023
9Llaneros W1671821:2322
10Millonarios W1664623:2122
11Junior W1656517:1221
12Chico W1648413:1520
13Huila W1655615:2120
14Real Santander W1634913:2913
15Dep. Pasto W16331011:3412
16Bucaramanga W1613129:416
17Deportes Tolima W16021411:462