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Deportiva Santillana vs Textil Escudo

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 3 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Deportiva Santillana play Textil Escudo in the Tercera Division - Group 3 2012/2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Deportiva Santillana averaged 0.78 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. Textil Escudo averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.65 conceded. In past meetings, Deportiva Santillana won 0, Textil Escudo won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 4, 2018 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Deportiva Santillana and 2.81 for Textil Escudo. This points to a Textil Escudo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Deportiva Santillana
23%
Draws
46%
Textil Escudo
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Textil Escudo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Deportiva Santillana picked up more points recently compared to Textil Escudo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 2.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Deportiva Santillana Clean Sheet 10%
Textil Escudo Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportiva Santillana Textil Escudo
Matches Played 32 37
Wins 6 11
Draws 9 6
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 0.78 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Textil Escudo vs Deportiva Santillana
1:0
Sep 15, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Deportiva Santillana vs Textil Escudo
0:2
Feb 9, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Deportiva Santillana vs Textil Escudo
0:1
Sep 23, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Textil Escudo vs Deportiva Santillana
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportiva Santillana 30 / 100
Textil Escudo 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportiva Santillana Textil Escudo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Textil Escudo or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Deportiva Santillana attacking → ← attacking Textil Escudo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportiva Santillana scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Textil Escudo let in goals in 70% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Deportiva Santillana went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Textil Escudo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 39
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
5.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CD Tropezon38258587:3283
2Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)38258576:2783
3Cayon CD382013550:2273
4CD Laredo381814654:3068
5Castro382081052:3368
6Vimenor3817101153:4361
7Barreda Balompie381791250:4460
8Santona3816101253:5158
9CD Siete Villas381581548:4953
10Guarnizo3813131245:4152
11UM Escobedo381491567:5451
12Gama381551835:4250
13Bezana3811141342:4747
14Atletico Albericia3812111550:5147
15Pontejos381381745:5547
16Ribamontan al Mar3811121542:5145
17Deportiva Santillana38992043:6536
18Textil Escudo38862435:6930
19Escuela Meruelo38572633:8522
20San Martin Arena38263016:8512