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Deportiva Venados vs Jaguares De Chiapas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Hernandez E.
42' Event
Castaneda F.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Premier game between Deportiva Venados and Jaguares De Chiapas finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportiva Venados.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Deportiva Venados
20%
Draws
51%
Jaguares De Chiapas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jaguares De Chiapas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportiva Venados come out ahead of Jaguares De Chiapas on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Primera Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Deportiva Venados Clean Sheet 20%
Jaguares De Chiapas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportiva Venados Jaguares De Chiapas
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.24 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.18 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Primera Premier
Deportiva Venados vs Jaguares De Chiapas
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Deportiva Venados vs Jaguares De Chiapas
4:1
Oct 21, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Jaguares De Chiapas vs Deportiva Venados
2:1
Mar 9, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Jaguares De Chiapas vs Deportiva Venados
0:0
Oct 26, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Deportiva Venados vs Jaguares De Chiapas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportiva Venados Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castaneda F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.59

Jaguares De Chiapas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportiva Venados 36 / 100
Jaguares De Chiapas 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportiva Venados Jaguares De Chiapas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaguares De Chiapas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Deportiva Venados scored in 88% of their last 34 outings.

Defensive concern: Jaguares De Chiapas conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Deportiva Venados has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Deportiva Venados VS Jaguares De Chiapas
1.5 Goals Scored 0.86
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.86
63% Over 1.5 43%
38% Over 2.5 14%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportiva Venados

(Home)
10 Oct
Deportiva Venados
1 : 4
Pioneros
03 Oct
Inter Playa Del Carmen
3 : 1
Deportiva Venados
26 Sept
Deportiva Venados
2 : 3
Celaya
19 Sept
Racing de Veracruz
3 : 3
Deportiva Venados
12 Sept
Deportiva Venados
2 : 0
Jaguares De Chiapas
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Jaguares De Chiapas

(Away)
11 Oct
Jaguares De Chiapas
1 : 0
Inter Playa Del Carmen
06 Oct
Celaya
0 : 1
Jaguares De Chiapas
29 Sept
Jaguares De Chiapas
1 : 1
Racing de Veracruz
12 Sept
Deportiva Venados
2 : 0
Jaguares De Chiapas
06 Sept
Jaguares De Chiapas
2 : 3
Montaneses
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 6 6 0 0 14:4 19
2 Reboceros de La Piedad 6 5 0 1 12:7 14
3 Tigres de Alica 7 3 2 2 9:7 11
4 Zacatepec 6 3 1 2 8:7 11
5 Los Cabos United 7 3 0 4 7:9 9
6 Cordobes FC 6 2 1 3 5:7 7
7 Purepechas 6 1 1 4 3:7 4
8 Lobos ULMX 6 1 1 4 5:11 4
9 Tritones Vallarta 6 0 2 4 3:7 2
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pioneros 6 5 0 1 18:7 16
2 Racing de Veracruz 6 4 2 0 18:7 16
3 Celaya 7 4 1 2 11:7 13
4 Jaguares De Chiapas 6 3 1 2 6:5 11
5 Montaneses 7 3 1 3 11:13 9
6 Deportiva Venados 6 1 2 3 10:13 6
7 Chapulineros 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
8 Inter Playa Del Carmen 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
9 Tapachula 6 1 0 5 6:16 3
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)