Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A

Deportiva Venados

4 - 1

Jaguares De Chiapas

Our Tip

Match Events

Castaneda F.

28'

Carrillo L.

39'

Castaneda F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A game between Deportiva Venados and Jaguares De Chiapas finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportiva Venados.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Deportiva Venados

11%

Draws

Jaguares De Chiapas

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Deportiva Venados

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Jaguares De Chiapas haven't matched Deportiva Venados's recent run of results.
Model gives Deportiva Venados a 80% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Deportiva Venados Clean Sheet 20%

Jaguares De Chiapas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Deportiva Venados	Jaguares De Chiapas
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	21	10
Draws	8	6
Losses	5	14
Goals Scored	2.38	1.43
Goals Conceded	0.63	1.57
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Deportiva Venados vs Jaguares De Chiapas

Possession: 43% - 58% Cards: 3 - 1

4:1

Oct 21, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Jaguares De Chiapas vs Deportiva Venados

Possession: 55% - 48% Cards: 3 - 0

2:1

Mar 9, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Jaguares De Chiapas vs Deportiva Venados

Possession: 57% - 51% Cards: 0 - 1

0:0

Oct 26, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A

Deportiva Venados vs Jaguares De Chiapas

Possession: 43% - 43% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportiva Venados Compare

Top Goalscorer Castaneda F.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Micolta S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.83

Avg xA / game 1.19

Jaguares De Chiapas Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrillo L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.3

Avg xA / game 0.79

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportiva Venados 76 / 100

Jaguares De Chiapas 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Deportiva Venados Jaguares De Chiapas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportiva Venados found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (34 games).

Jaguares De Chiapas let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Deportiva Venados stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Deportiva Venados VS Jaguares De Chiapas

2.38 Goals Scored 1.43

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.57

50% Over 1.5 71%

50% Over 2.5 43%

38% Over 3.5 43%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17