Sport Picks
Deportivo Achuapa vs Aurora F.C.
Guatemala
Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Winston Pineda, Jutiapa 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between Deportivo Achuapa and Aurora F.C. finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Achuapa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Deportivo Achuapa carry the better recent record into this one.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Deportivo Achuapa taking it.
- Regular Liga Nacional 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Aurora F.C. have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportivo Achuapa | Aurora F.C. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 0.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportivo Achuapa Compare
Aurora F.C. Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Deportivo Achuapa found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
Aurora F.C. has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Aurora F.C. lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Deportivo Achuapa
(Home)Aurora F.C.
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xelaju | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:19 | 39 |
| 2 | Municipal | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 32:21 | 38 |
| 3 | Deportivo Mixco | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 30:26 | 36 |
| 4 | Comunicaciones | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 28:26 | 35 |
| 5 | Antigua | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 34:29 | 34 |
| 6 | Coban Imperial | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 29:22 | 32 |
| 7 | Guastatoya | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29:21 | 31 |
| 8 | Marquense | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 25:29 | 30 |
| 9 | Mictlan | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 25:36 | 27 |
| 10 | Malacateco | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19:25 | 22 |
| 11 | Aurora F.C. | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 14:30 | 20 |
| 12 | Deportivo Achuapa | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17:32 | 19 |
