Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportivo Achuapa vs Deportivo Mixco

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Winston Pineda, Jutiapa
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Sub
Betancourt S. In: Suazo D.
Out: Betancourt S.
19'
Williams J.
28' Event
Williams J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between Deportivo Achuapa and Deportivo Mixco finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Achuapa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Deportivo Achuapa
20%
Draws
38%
Deportivo Mixco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Deportivo Achuapa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportivo Mixco come out ahead of Deportivo Achuapa on wins alone.
  • Deportivo Achuapa are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Deportivo Achuapa Clean Sheet 11%
Deportivo Mixco Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Achuapa Deportivo Mixco
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.86 1.63
Goals Conceded 2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Deportivo Achuapa
1:0
Jan 28, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Achuapa vs Deportivo Mixco
2:0
Dec 11, 2025 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Deportivo Achuapa
0:0
Dec 7, 2025 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Achuapa vs Deportivo Mixco
3:2
Nov 22, 2025 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Deportivo Achuapa
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Achuapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.43

Deportivo Mixco Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Achuapa 40 / 100
Deportivo Mixco 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Achuapa Deportivo Mixco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Achuapa's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Deportivo Mixco let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Difficult form: Deportivo Mixco registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Achuapa VS Deportivo Mixco
0.86 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
71% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Achuapa

(Home)
26 Apr
Deportivo Achuapa
2 : 2
Antigua
19 Apr
Coban Imperial
3 : 1
Deportivo Achuapa
17 Apr
Xelaju
3 : 0
Deportivo Achuapa
12 Apr
Deportivo Achuapa
1 : 0
Malacateco
07 Apr
Guastatoya
3 : 1
Deportivo Achuapa
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Mixco

(Away)
25 Jul
Municipal
2 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
10 May
Municipal
5 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
06 May
Deportivo Mixco
0 : 2
Municipal
02 May
Deportivo Mixco
2 : 0
Coban Imperial
29 Apr
Coban Imperial
2 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelaju22116534:1939
2Municipal22115632:2138
3Deportivo Mixco22106630:2636
4Comunicaciones22112928:2635
5Antigua2297634:2934
6Coban Imperial2288629:2232
7Guastatoya2287729:2131
8Marquense22931025:2930
9Mictlan2276925:3627
10Malacateco22641219:2522
11Aurora F.C.22481014:3020
12Deportivo Achuapa22541317:3219
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)