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Deportivo Achuapa vs Santa Lucia

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Sub
Gonzalez O. In: Mazariegos B.
Out: Gonzalez O.
33'
Lemus K.
45'
Cabrera E.

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Achuapa in this Liga Nacional 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Achuapa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Deportivo Achuapa
20%
Draws
38%
Santa Lucia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Deportivo Achuapa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Deportivo Achuapa lately — more wins on the board than Santa Lucia.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Deportivo Achuapa taking it.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Deportivo Achuapa Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Lucia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Achuapa Santa Lucia
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 0.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2023 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Achuapa vs Santa Lucia
1:0
Feb 25, 2023 Liga Nacional
Santa Lucia vs Deportivo Achuapa
1:0
Sep 25, 2022 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Achuapa vs Santa Lucia
2:1
Jul 24, 2022 Liga Nacional
Santa Lucia vs Deportivo Achuapa
1:0
Mar 20, 2022 Liga Nacional
Santa Lucia vs Deportivo Achuapa
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Achuapa 42 / 100
Santa Lucia 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Achuapa Santa Lucia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Achuapa scored in 61% of their last 38 games.

Santa Lucia has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Santa Lucia's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Achuapa VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comunicaciones22129137:1645
2Municipal22134544:2143
3Xelaju22127331:943
4Xinabajul2287727:2931
5Guastatoya2278728:2229
6Deportivo Mixco2278723:2429
7Antigua2285933:3729
8Deportivo Achuapa22751024:4426
9Coban Imperial2267916:1725
10Iztapa22551230:4920
11Malacateco22471124:3319
12Santa Lucia22541314:3019