Sport Picks
Deportivo Achuapa vs Xelaju
Guatemala
Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Winston Pineda 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Deportivo Achuapa host Xelaju in the Liga Nacional 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. Deportivo Achuapa have averaged 0.86 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Xelaju's 1.75 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Deportivo Achuapa slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 0.99 vs 1.88, favoring Xelaju. Xelaju in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Xelaju has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Deportivo Achuapa.
- Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Xelaju.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Nacional 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportivo Achuapa | Xelaju |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.86 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Deportivo Achuapa scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Xelaju let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Deportivo Achuapa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Xelaju lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xelaju | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:19 | 39 |
| 2 | Municipal | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 32:21 | 38 |
| 3 | Deportivo Mixco | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 30:26 | 36 |
| 4 | Comunicaciones | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 28:26 | 35 |
| 5 | Antigua | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 34:29 | 34 |
| 6 | Coban Imperial | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 29:22 | 32 |
| 7 | Guastatoya | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29:21 | 31 |
| 8 | Marquense | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 25:29 | 30 |
| 9 | Mictlan | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 25:36 | 27 |
| 10 | Malacateco | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19:25 | 22 |
| 11 | Aurora F.C. | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 14:30 | 20 |
| 12 | Deportivo Achuapa | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17:32 | 19 |