Sport Picks

Paraguay

Division Intermedia

Paraguari AC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Capiata play Paraguari AC in the Division Intermedia. It looks like a close match. Recently, Deportivo Capiata averaged 1.31 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Paraguari AC averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Deportivo Capiata won 1, Paraguari AC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 13, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Deportivo Capiata and 0.94 for Paraguari AC. This points to a Deportivo Capiata double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Deportivo Capiata

35%

Draws

15%

Paraguari AC

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Deportivo Capiata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence

Deportivo Capiata picked up more points recently compared to Paraguari AC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 65%

Over 2.5 Goals 37%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Deportivo Capiata Clean Sheet 24%

Paraguari AC Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Deportivo Capiata	Paraguari AC
Matches Played	29	13
Wins	11	2
Draws	13	3
Losses	5	8
Goals Scored	1.31	0.77
Goals Conceded	0.93	1.23
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Division Intermedia

Deportivo Capiata vs Paraguari AC

Possession: 44% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Capiata Compare

Top Goalscorer Escurra J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bareiro A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Paraguari AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Villalba V.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Capiata 50 / 100

Paraguari AC 16 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Deportivo Capiata Paraguari AC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Deportivo Capiata or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +19.5%

3.23

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Deportivo Capiata attacking → ← attacking Paraguari AC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Capiata scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Paraguari AC let in goals in 77% of their last 13 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Deportivo Capiata went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Paraguari AC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 9

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Benjamin Aceval	13	8	3	2	23:12	27
2	12 de Junio	13	8	3	2	20:11	27
3	General Caballero JLM	13	7	3	3	29:20	24
4	Deportivo Capiata	13	5	6	2	20:15	21
5	Sol de America	13	5	6	2	16:11	21
6	Deportivo Santani	13	6	3	4	14:11	21
7	Guairena FC	13	6	3	4	16:16	21
8	Independiente FBC	13	5	4	4	19:17	19
9	Atletico Tembetary	13	5	3	5	20:19	18
10	Resistencia	13	4	5	4	15:17	17
11	Sportivo Carapegua	13	4	3	6	15:25	15
12	Fernando de la Mora	13	4	2	7	13:20	14
13	Tacuary	13	2	6	5	17:21	12
14	Paraguari AC	13	2	3	8	10:16	9
15	Encarnacion FC	13	2	2	9	13:21	8
16	3 de Noviembre	13	0	7	6	12:20	7