Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportivo Fabril vs CD Castro Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Fabril in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Fabril.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Deportivo Fabril
30%
Draws
8%
CD Castro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Deportivo Fabril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Deportivo Fabril have won more games recently than CD Castro.
  • Deportivo Fabril are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Deportivo Fabril Clean Sheet 20%
CD Castro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Fabril CD Castro
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 22 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.76 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Deportivo Fabril vs CD Castro
4:1
Dec 6, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Castro vs Deportivo Fabril
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Fabril 85 / 100
CD Castro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Fabril CD Castro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Fabril Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Fabril found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (37 games).

CD Castro let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Deportivo Fabril remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Fabril VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Fabril

(Home)
26 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 0
Real Union
20 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 2
Deportivo Fabril
13 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 1
Ponferradina
06 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 1
Cacereno
29 Aug
AD Merida
1 : 0
Deportivo Fabril
Page 1 of 8

CD Castro

(Away)
14 May
Celtiga
3 : 0
CD Castro
07 May
CD Castro
0 : 1
Ribadumia
30 Apr
Deportivo Fabril
4 : 1
CD Castro
23 Apr
CD Castro
1 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
16 Apr
SD Negreira
1 : 0
CD Castro
Page 1 of 6