Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017

Dubra SD

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Fabril play Dubra SD in the Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017. Deportivo Fabril are favorites here. Recently, Deportivo Fabril averaged 1.69 goals scored and 0.59 conceded. Dubra SD averaged 0.97 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. In past meetings, Deportivo Fabril won 2, Dubra SD won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 14, 2017 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Deportivo Fabril and 0.94 for Dubra SD. This points to a Deportivo Fabril double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Deportivo Fabril

20%

Draws

10%

Dubra SD

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Deportivo Fabril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Deportivo Fabril picked up more points recently compared to Dubra SD.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 61%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Deportivo Fabril Clean Sheet 24%

Dubra SD Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Deportivo Fabril	Dubra SD
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	18	4
Draws	9	4
Losses	5	22
Goals Scored	1.69	0.97
Goals Conceded	0.59	2.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Deportivo Fabril vs Dubra SD

Possession: 43% - 57% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Dec 18, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Dubra SD vs Deportivo Fabril

Possession: 56% - 43% Cards: 4 - 2

0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Fabril 68 / 100

Dubra SD 11 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Deportivo Fabril Dubra SD

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Fabril Win (1)

Secondary Pick Deportivo Fabril & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +12.7%

1.61

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.82

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Deportivo Fabril attacking → ← attacking Dubra SD

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Fabril scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Dubra SD let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Deportivo Fabril went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Dubra SD lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

63 Points in last 5 16

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00