Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Deportivo Fabril play Numancia in the Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Deportivo Fabril averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. Numancia averaged 1.31 goals scored and 0.84 conceded. In past meetings, Deportivo Fabril won 1, Numancia won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 22, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Deportivo Fabril and 0.88 for Numancia. This points to a Deportivo Fabril double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Deportivo Fabril picked up more points recently compared to Numancia.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 0.88 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportivo Fabril | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 16 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 5 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 0.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportivo Fabril Compare
Numancia Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Deportivo Fabril scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Numancia let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 2.25 goals.
Deportivo Fabril went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Numancia lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Match Risk Analysis
Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability
Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.
Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.
Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Fabril | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 59:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Real Oviedo B | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 50:35 | 58 |
| 3 | Numancia | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 46:31 | 56 |
| 4 | UD Ourense | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40:34 | 55 |
| 5 | Coruxo FC | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 46:37 | 52 |
| 6 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 37:36 | 51 |
| 7 | Real Avila | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 48:52 | 50 |
| 8 | Salamanca CF UDS | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 43:36 | 50 |
| 9 | Rayo Cantabria | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 63:50 | 48 |
| 10 | Bergantinos | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:37 | 48 |
| 11 | Atletico Astorga | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 12 | Marino De Luanco | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 31:26 | 45 |
| 13 | Valladolid Promesas | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 59:58 | 45 |
| 14 | Langreo | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35:41 | 43 |
| 15 | Sarriana | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 42:42 | 40 |
| 16 | Burgos CF B | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 38:55 | 36 |
| 17 | Lealtad | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 31:54 | 28 |
| 18 | UD Samano | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23:87 | 15 |