Sport Picks
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco 
Match Events
23'
23'
Gomez A.
30'
30'
Da Silva B.
Assist: Castelli F.
34'
34'
Vasquez C.
AI Match Summary
Deportivo Garcilaso in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Garcilaso.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportivo Garcilaso
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Deportivo Garcilaso lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Grau.
- Win probability leans Deportivo Garcilaso's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Deportivo Garcilaso Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Grau Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportivo Garcilaso | Atletico Grau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau
4:2
Mar 22, 2026 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Deportivo Garcilaso
0:0
Aug 6, 2025 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1:1
Feb 28, 2025 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau
2:0
Oct 22, 2024 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Deportivo Garcilaso
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportivo Garcilaso Compare
Top Goalscorer Da Silva B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Castelli F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Atletico Grau Compare
Top Goalscorer Fernandez A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportivo Garcilaso 95 / 100
Atletico Grau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportivo Garcilaso Atletico Grau
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Deportivo Garcilaso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Deportivo Garcilaso's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Atletico Grau conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Deportivo Garcilaso went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Deportivo Garcilaso VS Atletico Grau
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportivo Garcilaso
(Home) 19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
13 Sept
Sport Boys
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2 Atletico Grau
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
23 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1 Cusco
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2 Atletico Grau
23 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1 Cusco
09 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
2 : 0 Moquegua
27 Jul
Deportivo Garcilaso
2 : 1 FC Cajamarca
Page 1 of 3
Atletico Grau
(Away) 19 Sept
Sporting Cristal
3 : 1 Atletico Grau
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1 Alianza Atl.
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2 Atletico Grau
01 Sept
Atletico Grau
1 : 0 FBC Melgar
26 Aug
Atletico Grau
2 : 3 Sport Boys
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Sporting Cristal
3 : 1 Atletico Grau
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2 Atletico Grau
21 Aug
FC Cajamarca
1 : 3 Atletico Grau
08 Aug
Juan Pablo II
0 : 0 Atletico Grau
25 Jul
Sport Huancayo
2 : 0 Atletico Grau
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:6 | 22 |
| 2 | Universitario de Deportes | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 19 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:13 | 16 |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:24 | 10 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 9 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:17 | 7 |
| 15 | Moquegua | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7:17 | 7 |
| 16 | Los Chankas | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:21 | 5 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
