Sport Picks
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cajamarca Prediction & H2H Stats
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco 
Match Events
20'
20'
Ganoza M.
40'
40'
Camacho D.
55'
55'
Sub
Sandoval K. In: Arancibia F.
Out: Sandoval K.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 1 game between Deportivo Garcilaso and Cajamarca finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Garcilaso.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportivo Garcilaso
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Deportivo Garcilaso come out ahead of Cajamarca on wins alone.
- Deportivo Garcilaso are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Deportivo Garcilaso Clean Sheet 68%
Cajamarca Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportivo Garcilaso | Cajamarca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cajamarca
2:0
Sep 26, 2025 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cajamarca
0:0
May 3, 2025 Liga 1
Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso
2:1
Jul 13, 2024 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cajamarca
1:0
Jan 26, 2024 Liga 1
Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportivo Garcilaso Compare
Top Goalscorer Olivares C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Arancibia F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Cajamarca Compare
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportivo Garcilaso 95 / 100
Cajamarca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportivo Garcilaso Cajamarca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Deportivo Garcilaso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Cajamarca conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.
Cajamarca lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Deportivo Garcilaso scored in 68% of their last 31 games.
Solid form: Deportivo Garcilaso remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Deportivo Garcilaso VS Cajamarca
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportivo Garcilaso
(Home) 19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
13 Sept
Sport Boys
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2 Atletico Grau
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
23 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1 Cusco
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2 Atletico Grau
23 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1 Cusco
09 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
2 : 0 Moquegua
27 Jul
Deportivo Garcilaso
2 : 1 FC Cajamarca
Page 1 of 3
Cajamarca
(Away) 20 Sept
Sport Huancayo
3 : 2 Cajamarca
11 Sept
Cajamarca
1 : 2 Juan Pablo II
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2 Cajamarca
29 Aug
Cajamarca
2 : 4 Universitario de Deportes
25 Aug
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Cajamarca
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Sport Huancayo
3 : 2 Cajamarca
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2 Cajamarca
25 Aug
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Cajamarca
16 Aug
A. Lima
1 : 0 Cajamarca
01 Aug
Cusco
4 : 1 Cajamarca
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario de Deportes | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl. | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | AD Tarma | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
