Sport Picks
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco 
Match Events
26'
26'
Diaz P.
34'
34'
Sub
Manzaneda J. In: Vidal A.
Out: Manzaneda J.
45'
45'
Da Silva B.
Assist: Castelli F.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 1 game between Deportivo Garcilaso and Cusco finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Garcilaso.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportivo Garcilaso
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Deportivo Garcilaso come out ahead of Cusco on wins alone.
- Model gives Deportivo Garcilaso a 43% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Deportivo Garcilaso Clean Sheet 68%
Cusco Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportivo Garcilaso | Cusco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco
4:1
Jun 14, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco
0:0
Mar 8, 2026 Liga 1
Cusco vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1:0
Oct 1, 2025 Liga 1
Cusco vs Deportivo Garcilaso
4:0
May 11, 2025 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportivo Garcilaso Compare
Top Goalscorer Da Silva B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sandoval K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Cusco Compare
Top Goalscorer Ampuero A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportivo Garcilaso 50 / 100
Cusco 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportivo Garcilaso Cusco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Deportivo Garcilaso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Deportivo Garcilaso scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Cusco has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Deportivo Garcilaso remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Deportivo Garcilaso VS Cusco
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportivo Garcilaso
(Home) 10 Oct
Deportivo Garcilaso
0 : 1 Sport Huancayo
19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
13 Sept
Sport Boys
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2 Atletico Grau
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Deportivo Garcilaso
0 : 1 Sport Huancayo
19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2 Atletico Grau
23 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1 Cusco
09 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
2 : 0 Moquegua
Page 1 of 3
Cusco
(Away) 19 Sept
FC Cajamarca
1 : 2 Cusco
12 Sept
Cusco
0 : 1 FBC Melgar
05 Sept
Cusco
2 : 0 Moquegua
31 Aug
Cienciano
1 : 2 Cusco
23 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1 Cusco
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
FC Cajamarca
1 : 2 Cusco
31 Aug
Cienciano
1 : 2 Cusco
23 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1 Cusco
07 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
3 : 1 Cusco
25 Jul
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 1 Cusco
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 3 | Universitario de Deportes | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 5 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21:13 | 19 |
| 6 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 11 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Cajamarca | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18:24 | 11 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | 10 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:24 | 9 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:21 | 6 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
