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Deportivo Garcilaso vs Los Chankas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Garcilaso host Los Chankas in the Liga 1. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Deportivo Garcilaso at 1.35 goals for, 0.97 against; Los Chankas at 1.34 for, 1.62 against. Head-to-head, Deportivo Garcilaso have won 2 to Los Chankas's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 4, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (2.31 xG vs 0.81) point toward Deportivo Garcilaso. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Deportivo Garcilaso
20%
Draws
15%
Los Chankas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Deportivo Garcilaso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Deportivo Garcilaso lately — more wins on the board than Los Chankas.
  • Deportivo Garcilaso are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Deportivo Garcilaso Clean Sheet 20%
Los Chankas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Garcilaso Los Chankas
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.35 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Deportivo Garcilaso
0:1
Jul 19, 2025 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Los Chankas
3:0
Feb 10, 2025 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Deportivo Garcilaso
2:2
Sep 29, 2024 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1:0
Apr 29, 2024 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Los Chankas
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Garcilaso 85 / 100
Los Chankas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Garcilaso Los Chankas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Garcilaso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Garcilaso's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Los Chankas has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Deportivo Garcilaso remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Garcilaso VS Los Chankas
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Garcilaso

(Home)
10 Oct
Deportivo Garcilaso
0 : 1
Sport Huancayo
19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0
Universitario de Deportes
13 Sept
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2
Atletico Grau
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1
Deportivo Garcilaso
Page 1 of 7

Los Chankas

(Away)
08 Oct
Atletico Grau
0 : 0
Los Chankas
30 Sept
Cienciano
1 : 1
Los Chankas
12 Sept
Los Chankas
1 : 2
FC Cajamarca
06 Sept
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0
Los Chankas
29 Aug
Los Chankas
3 : 4
Juan Pablo II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Cristal 11 7 1 3 21:10 22
2 Deportivo Garcilaso 11 7 1 3 18:7 22
3 Alianza Atl. 11 7 1 3 23:18 22
4 Sport Huancayo 11 7 1 3 17:13 22
5 Universitario de Deportes 11 6 3 2 21:18 21
6 Juan Pablo II 11 5 4 2 21:13 19
7 FBC Melgar 11 5 4 2 18:11 19
8 A. Lima 11 5 4 2 16:11 19
9 Sport Boys 11 5 3 3 15:10 18
10 Cusco 11 6 0 5 20:16 18
11 Atletico Grau 11 5 2 4 14:13 17
12 Cienciano 11 3 2 6 14:18 11
13 FC Cajamarca 11 3 2 6 18:24 11
14 Comerciantes Unidos 11 2 4 5 18:19 10
15 Los Chankas 11 2 3 6 11:24 9
16 Moquegua 11 1 4 6 7:19 7
17 AD Tarma 11 1 3 7 7:21 6
18 Cajamarca 11 0 2 9 11:25 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)