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Deportivo Getxo vs Bermeo

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Getxo in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Getxo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Deportivo Getxo
28%
Draws
22%
Bermeo
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Deportivo Getxo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Deportivo Getxo lately — more wins on the board than Bermeo.
  • Deportivo Getxo are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Deportivo Getxo Clean Sheet 20%
Bermeo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Getxo Bermeo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 2
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 0.8 0.13
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.80 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Deportivo Getxo vs Bermeo
2:0
Sep 16, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Bermeo vs Deportivo Getxo
1:1
Apr 1, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Deportivo Getxo vs Bermeo
1:0
Nov 12, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Bermeo vs Deportivo Getxo
1:1
Apr 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Bermeo vs Deportivo Getxo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Getxo 49 / 100
Bermeo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Getxo Bermeo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bermeo conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Deportivo Getxo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Deportivo Getxo found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Getxo VS Bermeo
0.8 Goals Scored 0.13
1.8 Goals Conceded 2.25
60% Over 1.5 63%
60% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Getxo

(Home)
30 Oct
Deportivo Getxo
0 : 7
Alaves
04 Oct
Betis Valladolid
1 : 2
Deportivo Getxo
27 Sept
Deportivo Getxo
0 : 0
Betis Valladolid
24 Aug
UD Samano
1 : 2
Deportivo Getxo
07 Oct
Sestao
0 : 0
Deportivo Getxo
Page 1 of 6

Bermeo

(Away)
18 May
Bermeo
1 : 2
Alaves B
11 May
Real Sociedad C
4 : 0
Bermeo
04 May
Bermeo
1 : 1
Balmaseda
27 Apr
Zamudio
0 : 0
Bermeo
18 Apr
Bermeo
3 : 3
SD San Pedro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alaves B38228857:2074
2CD Vitoria382261060:3972
3SCD Durango381914556:2771
4Beasain382010851:2970
5Portugalete381815556:3969
6Bermeo3814141053:4156
7SD Deusto3814131146:4555
8Santurtzi3813141144:3853
9Balmaseda3813121341:4051
10Basconia3812121450:5548
11Sodupe381381755:6747
12Amurrio Club3811131439:3946
13Deportivo Getxo381361939:4545
14Lagun Onak381291730:4745
15Real Sociedad C3810141436:3544
16Santutxu FC388171338:4541
17Tolosa389121732:4939
18Aurrera Ondarroa389111827:5438
19Zalla UC387121939:6333
20Pasaia38782335:6729
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)