Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2012/2013

Elgoibar

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Getxo play Elgoibar in the Tercera Division - Group 4 2012/2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Deportivo Getxo averaged 0.78 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. Elgoibar averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Deportivo Getxo won 1, Elgoibar won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 26, 2013 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Deportivo Getxo and 1.13 for Elgoibar. This points to a Deportivo Getxo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Deportivo Getxo

32%

Draws

32%

Elgoibar

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Deportivo Getxo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Deportivo Getxo picked up more points recently compared to Elgoibar.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 56%

Over 2.5 Goals 34%

Over 3.5 Goals 20%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Deportivo Getxo Clean Sheet 21%

Elgoibar Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 50%

Second Half Goal 53%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Deportivo Getxo	Elgoibar
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	9	7
Draws	9	11
Losses	14	12
Goals Scored	0.78	0.7
Goals Conceded	1.31	1.23

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Deportivo Getxo vs Elgoibar

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 2 - 4

0:2

Sep 8, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Elgoibar vs Deportivo Getxo

Possession: 44% - 45% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Getxo 37 / 100

Elgoibar 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Deportivo Getxo Elgoibar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Deportivo Getxo or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +21.4%

3.57

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Deportivo Getxo attacking → ← attacking Elgoibar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Getxo scored in 47% of their last 32 games.

Elgoibar let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Deportivo Getxo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Elgoibar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 32

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Laudio	38	23	12	3	65:29	81
2	Arenas Getxo	38	23	9	6	54:24	78
3	Portugalete	38	21	10	7	75:38	73
4	Leioa	38	20	11	7	43:28	71
5	Gernika Club	38	19	12	7	58:31	69
6	Zalla UC	38	18	13	7	51:36	67
7	Bermeo	38	12	16	10	52:47	52
8	SCD Durango	38	11	15	12	39:44	48
9	Zamudio	38	11	14	13	41:52	47
10	Beasain	38	11	14	13	38:41	47
11	Lagun Onak	38	11	13	14	36:41	46
12	Basconia	38	13	6	19	49:59	45
13	Pasaia	38	10	13	15	43:64	43
14	Alaves B	38	11	10	17	40:48	43
15	Elgoibar	38	10	13	15	35:42	43
16	Santutxu FC	38	10	11	17	39:55	41
17	Balmaseda	38	11	7	20	49:57	40
18	Deportivo Getxo	38	9	12	17	34:49	39
19	Aurrera de Vitoria	38	7	8	23	27:57	29
20	Anaitasuna FT	38	6	7	25	35:61	25