Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2016/2017

Santurtzi

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Getxo play Santurtzi in the Tercera Division - Group 4 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Deportivo Getxo averaged 0.78 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. Santurtzi averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. In past meetings, Deportivo Getxo won 1, Santurtzi won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 28, 2018 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Deportivo Getxo and 1.18 for Santurtzi. This points to a Santurtzi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Deportivo Getxo

30%

Draws

38%

Santurtzi

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santurtzi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Deportivo Getxo picked up more points recently compared to Santurtzi.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.18 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 64%

Over 2.5 Goals 41%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Deportivo Getxo Clean Sheet 20%

Santurtzi Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 58%

Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Deportivo Getxo	Santurtzi
Matches Played	32	39
Wins	9	12
Draws	9	15
Losses	14	12
Goals Scored	0.78	1.08
Goals Conceded	1.31	1.28

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Deportivo Getxo vs Santurtzi

Possession: 55% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Dec 3, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Santurtzi vs Deportivo Getxo

Possession: 57% - 56% Cards: 0 - 4

3:0

Feb 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Deportivo Getxo vs Santurtzi

Possession: 43% - 58% Cards: 2 - 3

3:1

Oct 2, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Santurtzi vs Deportivo Getxo

Possession: 54% - 45% Cards: 1 - 0

1:0

Aug 2, 2016 Club Friendly

Santurtzi vs Deportivo Getxo

Possession: 51% - 49% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Getxo 33 / 100

Santurtzi 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Deportivo Getxo Santurtzi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Santurtzi or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.3%

2.86

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Deportivo Getxo attacking → ← attacking Santurtzi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Getxo scored in 47% of their last 32 games.

Santurtzi let in goals in 69% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Deportivo Getxo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Santurtzi lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 51

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alaves B	38	22	8	8	57:20	74
2	CD Vitoria	38	22	6	10	60:39	72
3	SCD Durango	38	19	14	5	56:27	71
4	Beasain	38	20	10	8	51:29	70
5	Portugalete	38	18	15	5	56:39	69
6	Bermeo	38	14	14	10	53:41	56
7	SD Deusto	38	14	13	11	46:45	55
8	Santurtzi	38	13	14	11	44:38	53
9	Balmaseda	38	13	12	13	41:40	51
10	Basconia	38	12	12	14	50:55	48
11	Sodupe	38	13	8	17	55:67	47
12	Amurrio Club	38	11	13	14	39:39	46
13	Deportivo Getxo	38	13	6	19	39:45	45
14	Lagun Onak	38	12	9	17	30:47	45
15	Real Sociedad C	38	10	14	14	36:35	44
16	Santutxu FC	38	8	17	13	38:45	41
17	Tolosa	38	9	12	17	32:49	39
18	Aurrera Ondarroa	38	9	11	18	27:54	38
19	Zalla UC	38	7	12	19	39:63	33
20	Pasaia	38	7	8	23	35:67	29