Sport Picks
Deportivo La Guaira vs Aragua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Venezuela
Copa Venezuela Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas 
Match Events
18'
18'
Pomozy H.
62'
62'
Rivas Gutierrez F. J.
65'
65'
Uribe A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aragua
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Aragua have won more games recently than Deportivo La Guaira.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Aragua taking it.
- Aragua arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Deportivo La Guaira, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Deportivo La Guaira have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 10%
Aragua Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportivo La Guaira | Aragua |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.22 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 21, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Deportivo La Guaira vs Aragua
3:0
Jun 27, 2024 Copa Venezuela
Aragua vs Deportivo La Guaira
1:2
Jun 6, 2024 Copa Venezuela
Deportivo La Guaira vs Aragua
3:0
Jul 31, 2022 Liga FUTVE
Aragua vs Deportivo La Guaira
0:2
Apr 21, 2022 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Aragua
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportivo La Guaira Compare
Top Goalscorer Pomozy H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rivas Gutierrez F. J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Aragua Compare
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportivo La Guaira 14 / 100
Aragua 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportivo La Guaira Aragua
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aragua Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Deportivo La Guaira's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Aragua has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Deportivo La Guaira has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Deportivo La Guaira VS Aragua
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportivo La Guaira
(Home) 21 Oct
Deportivo La Guaira
3 : 0 Aragua
17 Oct
Deportivo La Guaira
1 : 2 Trujillanos
10 Oct
Portuguesa
0 : 0 Deportivo La Guaira
20 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 4 Dep. Tachira
15 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0 Deportivo La Guaira
Page 1 of 7
21 Oct
Deportivo La Guaira
3 : 0 Aragua
17 Oct
Deportivo La Guaira
1 : 2 Trujillanos
20 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 4 Dep. Tachira
12 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 2 Universidad Central
06 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 0 Academia Anzoategui
Page 1 of 3
Aragua
(Away) 21 Oct
Deportivo La Guaira
3 : 0 Aragua
18 Oct
Dynamo Puerto FC
2 : 2 Aragua
14 Oct
Aragua
3 : 1 Caracas
11 Oct
Aragua
3 : 0 Mineros
07 Oct
Barquisimeto
1 : 4 Aragua
Page 1 of 6
21 Oct
Deportivo La Guaira
3 : 0 Aragua
18 Oct
Dynamo Puerto FC
2 : 2 Aragua
07 Oct
Barquisimeto
1 : 4 Aragua
04 Oct
Maritimo de Venezuela
0 : 3 Aragua
20 Sept
Bolivar
1 : 1 Aragua
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Deportivo La Guaira 3
Aragua 0
Metropolitanos -
Academia Anzoategui -
Carabobo 2
Mineros 1
Portuguesa 0
Zamora 2
Universidad Central -
Atletico Barinas -
Estudiantes Merida 1
Caracas 2
Dep. Tachira 2
Monagas 1
Academia Puerto Cabello 3
Rayo Zuliano 1
Quarter-finals
Deportivo La Guaira -
TBD -
Carabobo -
Zamora -
TBD -
Caracas -
Dep. Tachira -
Academia Puerto Cabello -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
