Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas

Deportivo La Guaira

2 - 4

Ind. Rivadavia

Our Tip

Match Events

20'

Arce A.

Assist: Villa S.

29'

Osio D.

Assist: Ortiz G.

34'

Villa S.

Assist: Fernandez M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-4, with Ind. Rivadavia advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Deportivo La Guaira

11%

Draws

80%

Ind. Rivadavia

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Ind. Rivadavia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Deportivo La Guaira haven't matched Ind. Rivadavia's recent run of results.
Model gives Ind. Rivadavia a 80% chance of winning this.
Ind. Rivadavia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Ind. Rivadavia, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%

Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 10%

Ind. Rivadavia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Deportivo La Guaira	Ind. Rivadavia
Matches Played	30	27
Wins	9	18
Draws	14	6
Losses	7	3
Goals Scored	1	2.5
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Deportivo La Guaira vs Ind. Rivadavia

2:4

Apr 30, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Ind. Rivadavia vs Deportivo La Guaira

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo La Guaira Compare

Top Goalscorer Osio D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Castellanos J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Ind. Rivadavia Compare

Top Goalscorer Arce A.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Villa S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.27

Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo La Guaira 10 / 100

Ind. Rivadavia 86 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Deportivo La Guaira Ind. Rivadavia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Deportivo La Guaira scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Ind. Rivadavia let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Solid form: Deportivo La Guaira remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo La Guaira VS Ind. Rivadavia

1 Goals Scored 2.5

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo La Guaira

(Home)

31 May

Deportivo La Guaira

0 : 2

Academia Puerto Cabello

28 May

Fluminense

3 : 1

Deportivo La Guaira

23 May

Portuguesa

0 : 2

Deportivo La Guaira

21 May

Deportivo La Guaira

2 : 4

Ind. Rivadavia

15 May

Deportivo La Guaira

0 : 0

Universidad Central

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Ind. Rivadavia

(Away)

12 Jul

Ind. Rivadavia

1 : 0

Tigre

28 May

Bolivar

1 : 3

Ind. Rivadavia

21 May

Deportivo La Guaira

2 : 4

Ind. Rivadavia

10 May

Ind. Rivadavia

1 : 2

Union de Santa Fe

07 May

Ind. Rivadavia

1 : 1

Fluminense

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